Real Estate Investing in Kettering, Ohio (45440)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Greene County • Population: 22,730 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 45440 (Kettering, OH)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (71/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Kettering, OH (45440)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $321,944
Avg Monthly Rent $1,481
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $79,388
% Renters 37.2%

Market Analysis: 45440 Kettering

ZIP 45440 inside Greene County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $322K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The 45440 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

ZIP 45440's metrics run below Greene County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The demographic picture in 45440 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Kettering averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. resilient returns are possible in 45440, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Kettering:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 73/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.1× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,481/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Dayton-Kettering, OH Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
28 days
Average time to sell
Fast
14.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Dayton-Kettering, OH metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 45440

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$88,868/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $177,736 $1,390 5.6% +7.7% $88,868
3BR $290,217 $1,800 4.5% +7.1% $96,739
4BR $370,554 $1,980 3.8% +6.4% $92,639
5BR $538,874 +6.7% $107,775

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$340K$300K$259K$218K$177K$136KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,563$1,503$1,443$1,382$1,322$1,261Feb 2025Nov 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 45440 Compare?

Metric 45440 Kettering Dayton-Kettering, OH Ohio
Home Value $321,944 $256,876 N/A $237,530
5-Year CAGR 5.3% 5.9% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $1,481 $1,418 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.6% 4.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 45440? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 37% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 45440 (Kettering, OH). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.3%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $321,944
Monthly Rent $1,481
Price-to-Rent 18.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 8.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +0.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 45440

Population: 22,730

💰 Median Household Income
$79,388
This area
$79,388
State
$68,496
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.2%
This area
37.2%
State
25.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-9.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
45.8%
This area
45.8%
State
8.4%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.5 years
This area
40.5 years
State
19.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.9%
This area
5.9%
State
11.1%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 84.0%
Other/Mixed 7.1%
Black/African American 5.8%
Hispanic/Latino 3.5%
Asian 3.2%
👶 Under 18
22.9%
This area
22.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.1%
This area
21.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.4%
This area
6.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 45440

B+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
16.5:1 Avg Class Size
$16,695 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

J F Kennedy Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
631 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$16,695 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Prass Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
397 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$16,695 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B+ Above Average

Fairbrook Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 260 N Fairfield Rd, Beavercreek
👥
545 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,571 Per Student
B Good

Herman K Ankeney Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 4085 Shakertown Rd, Beavercreek
👥
775 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,571 Per Student
B Good

Bell Creek Intermediate School

📚 03 – 06 School
📍 3777 Upper Bellbrook Rd, Bellbrook
👥
640 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,161 Per Student
B Good

Bellbrook Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 3600 Feedwire Rd, Bellbrook
👥
628 Students
👨‍🏫
18.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,161 Per Student
B Good

Stephen Bell Elementary School

📚 K – 02 Elementary
📍 4133 Shadowleaf Dr, Bellbrook
👥
598 Students
👨‍🏫
20.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,161 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
D
The Modern College of Design
189 students · 1.9 mi
D
Fortis College-Centerville
460 students · 3.2 mi
D
Dayton School of Medical Massage
425 students · 3.7 mi
C+
Kettering College
812 students · 5.1 mi
C+
Creative Images Institute of Cosmetology-South Dayton
52 students · 5.2 mi
B
University of Dayton
11,304 students · 6.0 mi
C
International College of Broadcasting
44 students · 6.5 mi
C
Ohio Medical Career College
121 students · 6.9 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Kettering, OH a good investment right now?

Kettering, OH scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $322K and rents near $1,481/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

How much do tenants pay in Kettering, OH?

Expect rents around $1,481/mo per month in Kettering, OH. With home values at $322K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

What type of investing works in Kettering, OH?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Kettering, OH. With home values at $322K and rents near $1,481/mo, other strategies can work but produce consistent rather than outsized returns.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Kettering, OH?

Kettering, OH vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Is housing expensive in Kettering, OH?

Kettering, OH median home values land near $322K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,481/mo-per-month rentals.

You know 45440 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 45440 ranks in Dayton-Kettering, OH

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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