Real Estate Investing in Wallins Creek, Kentucky (40819)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harlan County • Population: 632 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40819 (Wallins Creek, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (57/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 6.1% in the last year.
  • Elevated poverty: 22.3% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $31,250 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Wallins Creek, KY (40819)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $95,866
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $31,250
% Renters 9.4%

Market Analysis: 40819 Wallins Creek

In practical terms, ZIP 40819 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $96K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The investment case in 40819 is impressive only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $96K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Within KY, ZIP 40819 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Harlan County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and resilient enough to shape underwriting.

Resident income in 40819 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategy in 40819 is an operator game, not a passive one. From a cash-flow lens, entry prices of $96K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Wallins Creek:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.1× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-6.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$107K$97K$86K$76K$66K$56KMar 2015Nov 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40819 Compare?

Metric 40819 Wallins Creek Kentucky
Home Value $95,866 $88,213 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 3.1% 4.0% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $851 -
Cap Rate 6.4% 7.6% -
💡 Why Invest in 40819? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40819 (Wallins Creek, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
6.4%
Good
5yr Growth
+3.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $95,866
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 10.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 9.8%
Cap Rate 6.4%
5-Year IRR 9.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -6.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Neutral Leverage Cap Rate: 6.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage is roughly neutral here.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) is close to the estimated cap rate (6.4%). Financing this market at current rates produces a cash-on-cash return near the cap rate. Appreciation and tax benefits may still support the investment.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40819

Population: 632

💰 Median Household Income
$31,250
This area
$31,250
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
9.4%
This area
9.4%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.3%
This area
1.3%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
4.2%
This area
4.2%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.0 years
This area
53.0 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.8%
This area
12.8%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.4%
Other/Mixed 3.6%
Hispanic/Latino 3.0%
👶 Under 18
26.8%
This area
26.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.4%
This area
23.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
22.3%
This area
22.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is the working-renter base in Wallins Creek, KY?

Wallins Creek, KY offers a steady renter base at the $783/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Does Wallins Creek, KY favor landlords or tenants?

Wallins Creek, KY falls under KY landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

How expensive is real estate in Wallins Creek, KY?

Homes in Wallins Creek, KY typically sell near $96K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which consistent long-term demand.

What are vacancy rates like in Wallins Creek, KY?

Vacancy risk in Wallins Creek, KY is elevated. That supports predictable cash flow for typical rental holds.

Does house hacking work in Wallins Creek, KY?

For house hackers, Wallins Creek, KY is a challenging. The $783/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $96K property.

You know 40819 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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