Real Estate Investing in Loyall, Kentucky (40854)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harlan County • Population: 853 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40854 (Loyall, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (84/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
5 flags
  • High vacancy: 19.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 5.6% in the last year.
  • Elevated poverty: 35.4% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Higher unemployment: 8.6% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Loyall, KY (40854)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $71,515
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $24,803
% Renters 46.0%

Market Analysis: 40854 Loyall

Within Harlan County, the 40854 ZIP reflects a lower entry point around $72K. On balance, operators who can improve stock here typically see outsized uplift.

Investors in 40854 do not buy the market average — they buy the unit they can improve. $72K median pricing and $783/mo comps define the envelope within which the work has to pay.

Across KY, value-add opportunity tends to concentrate where housing stock is older and entry prices are below the state median. ZIP 40854 clocks in at both traits clearly.

Stepping back, incomes in 40854 sit below the county median, the tenant pool is deep and the demand for upgraded rental stock consistently outruns supply.

Experienced operators with contractor networks find 40854 a credible choice for. First-time flippers often underestimate scope, budget, and timeline, which is how deals here turn sour.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Loyall:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-5.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 40854

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
10.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+14.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$30,210/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $60,421 $870 10.4% +14.2% $30,210
3BR $101,249 $1,140 8.1% +12.5% $33,750

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$81K$71K$60K$50K$39K$29KMar 2015Nov 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40854 Compare?

Metric 40854 Loyall Kentucky
Home Value $71,515 $71,515 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 9.2% 9.2% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $783 -
Cap Rate 8.5% 8.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 40854? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $783/mo on homes averaging $71,515 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

A healthy rental market with 46% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40854 (Loyall, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
8.5%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+9.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $71,515
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 7.6:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 13.1%
Cap Rate 8.5%
5-Year IRR 17.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -5.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 8.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (8.5%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
19.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+9.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40854

Population: 853

💰 Median Household Income
$24,803
This area
$24,803
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
46.0%
This area
46.0%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
8.6%
This area
8.6%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
5.5%
This area
5.5%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.6 years
This area
37.6 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
19.0%
This area
19.0%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.5%
Other/Mixed 2.4%
Hispanic/Latino 1.8%
Black/African American 1.1%
👶 Under 18
19.2%
This area
19.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.3%
This area
17.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
35.4%
This area
35.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Where do rents currently stand in Loyall, KY?

Rent in Loyall, KY is around $783/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $72K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What does house hacking look like in Loyall, KY?

House hacking in Loyall, KY is reasonable to execute. Prices around $72K and rents of $783/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Is BRRRR a fit for Loyall, KY?

Investors running BRRRR in Loyall, KY see a strong outcomes. Deal flow and rehab execution matter more than the macro here.

Is Loyall, KY a good place for real estate investing?

With a 5.0/5 investability score, Loyall, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $72K and rents of $783/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What is the average home sale price in Loyall, KY?

Loyall, KY median home values land near $72K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $783/mo-per-month rentals.

You know 40854 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40854 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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