Real Estate Investing in Pathfork, Kentucky (40863)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harlan County • Population: 801 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40863 (Pathfork, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (79/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

A balanced market — moderate cash flow and moderate appreciation. A "steady" investor profile fits best.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 21.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 7.3% in the last year.
  • Elevated poverty: 24.9% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $37,801 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Pathfork, KY (40863)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $69,725
Avg Monthly Rent $819
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $37,801
% Renters 19.4%

Market Analysis: 40863 Pathfork

ZIP 40863 inside Pathfork, KY leans into a value-add thesis. Home values near $70K sit below the state median, and rents of $819/mo leave room for forced-equity plays.

ZIP 40863 favors investors with a contractor on speed dial. Stepping back, the turnkey yield looks ordinary, a renovated unit pulls stronger rent than the unrenovated $819/mo average.

In Harlan County, 40863 is part of the operational map, not the passive one. The spread between median price and renovated comp reflects the work available.

Demographically, 40863 is a working ZIP — not a luxury market. That profile is exactly what value-add operators need in order to price their renovated product correctly.

Flippers with local expertise can do well in 40863. Out-of-state investors should partner with boots-on-the-ground operators or skip the ZIP entirely.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Pathfork:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 77/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-7.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $819/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$79K$71K$63K$54K$46K$38KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40863 Compare?

Metric 40863 Pathfork Kentucky
Home Value $69,725 $71,804 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 5.0% 0.0% 6.9%
Avg Rent $819 $806 -
Cap Rate 9.2% 8.8% -
💡 Why Invest in 40863? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $819/mo on homes averaging $69,725 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40863 (Pathfork, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
9.2%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+5.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $69,725
Monthly Rent $819
Price-to-Rent 7.1:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 14.1%
Cap Rate 9.2%
5-Year IRR 14.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -7.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 9.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (9.2%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
21.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40863

Population: 801

💰 Median Household Income
$37,801
This area
$37,801
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
19.4%
This area
19.4%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
52.2 years
This area
52.2 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
21.2%
This area
21.2%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 97.7%
Other/Mixed 2.3%
👶 Under 18
5.9%
This area
5.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.9%
This area
22.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
24.9%
This area
24.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors consider Pathfork, KY?

Our data puts Pathfork, KY at 5.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $70K and rents around $819/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

What is the typical home price in Pathfork, KY?

Pathfork, KY home values average about $70K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $819/mo in monthly income.

Are rents high in Pathfork, KY?

Investors in Pathfork, KY typically see rents near $819/mo per month against $70K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Are 1% rule properties available in Pathfork, KY?

Yes, many Pathfork, KY properties clear the 1% rule. The rent-to-price ratio averages 1.17%, supported by $819/mo rents.

Is Pathfork, KY a good market for FHA house hackers?

The an attractive house-hack environment in Pathfork, KY reflects the rent-to-price spread. Expect meaningful PITI offset at market rents.

You know 40863 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40863 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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