Real Estate Investing in Pineville, Kentucky (40813)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bell County • Population: 321 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40813 (Pineville, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (62/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (57/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.1% CAGR).
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 8.0% in the last year.
  • Higher unemployment: 7.7% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Pineville, KY (40813)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $100,198
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $53,214
% Renters 45.1%

Market Analysis: 40813 Pineville

The 40813 ZIP covers a section of Pineville that demands careful diligence. Prices near $100K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 40813 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Statewide comparisons place 40813 among KY's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

A sturdy renter share of 45% in 40813 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. substantial returns are possible in 40813, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Pineville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 63/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-8.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Middlesborough, KY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Middlesborough, KY metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$118K$111K$103K$96K$88K$81KFeb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40813 Compare?

Metric 40813 Pineville Middlesborough, KY Kentucky
Home Value $100,198 $78,693 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 0.1% N/A N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $789 N/A -
Cap Rate 6.1% 8.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40813? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 45% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40813 (Pineville, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
6.1%
Good
5yr Growth
+0.1%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Middlesborough, KY metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $100,198
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 10.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 9.4%
Cap Rate 6.1%
5-Year IRR 6.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -8.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 6.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (6.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.7%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40813

Population: 321

💰 Median Household Income
$53,214
This area
$53,214
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
45.1%
This area
45.1%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
7.7%
This area
7.7%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
5.6%
This area
5.6%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
58.1 years
This area
58.1 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.7%
This area
14.7%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
1.3%
This area
1.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
26.9%
This area
26.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.1%
This area
13.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C
Clear Creek Baptist Bible College
159 students · 7.2 mi
C+
Lincoln Memorial University
5,805 students · 10.1 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Pineville, KY make sense for an investment property?

Pineville, KY comes in at an investability rating of 3.0/5, with median home values near $100K and average rents around $783/mo. That combination puts it in the resilient tier for investor interest.

What strategy should investors use in Pineville, KY?

In Pineville, KY the sturdy play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $100K prices and $783/mo rents suits that approach.

What are rental rates like in Pineville, KY?

Pineville, KY rentals go for roughly $783/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $100K acquisition costs.

How high is vacancy risk in Pineville, KY?

Vacancy in Pineville, KY is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $783/mo.

Is Pineville, KY suited for a house hack?

House hacking works a challenging in Pineville, KY. Rents of $783/mo against $100K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

You know 40813 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 40813 ranks in Middlesborough, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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