Real Estate Investing in Blue Springs, Mississippi (38828)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Union County • Population: 4,532 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38828 (Blue Springs, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 20.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Blue Springs, MS (38828)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $204,700
Avg Monthly Rent $891
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $54,583
% Renters 25.4%

Market Analysis: 38828 Blue Springs

ZIP 38828 in Blue Springs, MS carries a significant set of headwinds. Home values near $205K and rents of $891/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 38828 can be a a strong candidate for hunting ground — but the discount at $205K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Within MS, ZIP 38828 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Union County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and substantial enough to shape underwriting.

The 38828 ZIP's population of 4,532 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that sits at the need for careful underwriting.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. significant returns are possible in 38828, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Blue Springs:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+14.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $891/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Tupelo, MS Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tupelo, MS metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$214K$195K$176K$157K$138K$119KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38828 Compare?

Metric 38828 Blue Springs Tupelo, MS Mississippi
Home Value $204,700 $204,700 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR 4.1% 4.1% N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $891 $891 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.4% 3.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38828? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38828 (Blue Springs, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.1%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Tupelo, MS metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $204,700
Monthly Rent $891
Price-to-Rent 19.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.2%
Cap Rate 3.4%
5-Year IRR 7.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +14.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38828

Population: 4,532

💰 Median Household Income
$54,583
This area
$54,583
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
25.4%
This area
25.4%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.2%
This area
17.2%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.2 years
This area
34.2 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.7%
This area
20.7%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 81.3%
Black/African American 17.1%
Other/Mixed 1.6%
Hispanic/Latino 0.7%
👶 Under 18
28.7%
This area
28.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.0%
This area
13.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.7%
This area
10.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38828

C+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
15.8:1 Avg Class Size
$10,084 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

C+ Average

EAST UNION ATTENDANCE CENTER

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
986 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$10,084 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
KC's School of Hair Design
54 students · 14.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How much is rent in Blue Springs, MS?

Rents in Blue Springs, MS run near $891/mo. Compared with median home prices of $205K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Are renters plentiful in Blue Springs, MS?

Blue Springs, MS draws a consistent base of working renters. Demand at the $891/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Blue Springs, MS?

Occupancy in Blue Springs, MS runs consistent with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $891/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Blue Springs, MS?

Blue Springs, MS is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $205K price point reasonable to enter.

Which real estate strategy fits Blue Springs, MS?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Blue Springs, MS. The numbers - $205K homes against $891/mo rents - support that play.

You know 38828 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 38828 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 38828 ranks in Tupelo, MS

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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