Real Estate Investing in Morris Chapel, Tennessee (38361)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hardin County • Population: 1,158 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38361 (Morris Chapel, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (65/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 26.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 25.6% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Morris Chapel, TN (38361)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $189,584
Avg Monthly Rent $846
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,582
% Renters 8.8%

Market Analysis: 38361 Morris Chapel

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Morris Chapel's 38361 ZIP clocks in at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $190K pricing implies.

Put differently, the numbers look inviting — $190K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 38361 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Nearby ZIPs in Morris Chapel have seen price recovery that 38361 has not matched. Hardin County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Employment concentration in 38361 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategy in 38361 is an operator game, not a passive one. On balance, entry prices of $190K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Morris Chapel:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $846/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$205K$175K$145K$114K$84K$53KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38361 Compare?

Metric 38361 Morris Chapel Tennessee
Home Value $189,584 $189,584 $327,001
5-Year CAGR 7.6% 7.6% 7.7%
Avg Rent $846 $846 -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 38361? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38361 (Morris Chapel, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.6%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $189,584
Monthly Rent $846
Price-to-Rent 18.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.4%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 11.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
26.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38361

Population: 1,158

💰 Median Household Income
$57,582
This area
$57,582
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.8%
This area
8.8%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
25.3%
This area
25.3%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.0 years
This area
54.0 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
26.3%
This area
26.3%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.3%
Black/African American 3.7%
Hispanic/Latino 3.0%
Other/Mixed 3.0%
👶 Under 18
18.1%
This area
18.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
41.6%
This area
41.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
25.6%
This area
25.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 513 Off-Campus Students
C+
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Crump
1,412 students · 6.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 513 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the rental occupancy rate in Morris Chapel, TN?

Morris Chapel, TN vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

How much do tenants pay in Morris Chapel, TN?

Expect rents around $846/mo per month in Morris Chapel, TN. With home values at $190K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

How do home values compare in Morris Chapel, TN?

Homes in Morris Chapel, TN typically sell near $190K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which measured long-term demand.

Is rental property easy to operate in Morris Chapel, TN?

Landlord-friendliness in Morris Chapel, TN is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What real estate strategy is ideal for Morris Chapel, TN?

Morris Chapel, TN investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($190K prices, $846/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

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