Real Estate Investing in Union City, Tennessee (38261)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Obion County • Population: 16,338 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38261 (Union City, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (70/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.7% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Union City, TN (38261)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $173,065
Avg Monthly Rent $1,021
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $50,576
% Renters 40.3%

Market Analysis: 38261 Union City

The 38261 ZIP in Union City, TN is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $173K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Rent of $1,021/mo on a $173K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 38261 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

In the broader TN picture, 38261 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Who lives in 38261 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The right play in 38261 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Union City:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 74/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,021/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Union City, TN Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Union City, TN metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$180K$159K$138K$118K$97K$76KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,023$1,017$1,010$1,003$996$989May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 38261 Compare?

Metric 38261 Union City Union City, TN Tennessee
Home Value $173,065 $173,065 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 6.9% 6.9% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,021 $1,021 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.6% 4.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38261? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 40% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38261 (Union City, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.9%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Union City, TN metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $173,065
Monthly Rent $1,021
Price-to-Rent 14.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.1%
Cap Rate 4.6%
5-Year IRR 11.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.7%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.9%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38261

Population: 16,338

💰 Median Household Income
$50,576
This area
$50,576
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
40.3%
This area
40.3%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.6%
This area
18.6%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.0 years
This area
41.0 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.7%
This area
9.7%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 74.1%
Black/African American 16.4%
Other/Mixed 9.2%
Hispanic/Latino 6.2%
Asian 0.3%
👶 Under 18
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.7%
This area
19.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.1%
This area
13.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38261

B+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
13.7:1 Avg Class Size
$13,789 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Union City High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
417 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,074 Per Student
A Very Good

Ridgemont Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
369 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,361 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Union City Middle School

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
475 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,074 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Lake Road Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
503 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,361 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Union City Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
815 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,074 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the tenant base reliable in Union City, TN?

The renter base in Union City, TN is reasonable for the $1,021/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields stable tenants.

Is Union City, TN a good market for FHA house hackers?

Union City, TN offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,021/mo rent level.

What is the average home sale price in Union City, TN?

Typical homes in Union City, TN go for around $173K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% reliable price movement.

Are landlord laws favorable in Union City, TN?

Rental owners in Union City, TN deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

Is Union City, TN a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Our data puts Union City, TN at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $173K and rents around $1,021/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

You know 38261 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38261 ranks in Union City, TN

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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