Real Estate Investing in Mount Carmel, Tennessee (37645)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hawkins County • Population: 5,504 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 37645 (Mount Carmel, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.7 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Mount Carmel, TN (37645)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $271,504
Avg Monthly Rent $882
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,971
% Renters 13.7%

Market Analysis: 37645 Mount Carmel

This part of Hawkins County is not an easy win. The 37645 ZIP shows softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 37645 posts the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

The gap between 37645 and stronger Mount Carmel ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 37645 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

New investors are better served looking at Mount Carmel's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 37645. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Mount Carmel:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $882/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$285K$246K$206K$166K$127K$87KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 37645 Compare?

Metric 37645 Mount Carmel Tennessee
Home Value $271,504 $271,504 $327,001
5-Year CAGR 9.0% 9.0% 7.7%
Avg Rent $882 $882 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 37645? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 37645 (Mount Carmel, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+9.0%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $271,504
Monthly Rent $882
Price-to-Rent 25.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.9%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 11.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+9.0%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 37645

Population: 5,504

💰 Median Household Income
$64,971
This area
$64,971
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.7%
This area
13.7%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.1%
This area
3.1%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.5%
This area
17.5%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.2 years
This area
42.2 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 97.4%
Other/Mixed 1.3%
Asian 0.9%
Black/African American 0.4%
Hispanic/Latino 0.3%
👶 Under 18
19.6%
This area
19.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.2%
This area
19.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.2%
This area
5.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 37645

B+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
13.8:1 Avg Class Size
$13,150 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Mt Carmel Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
304 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,150 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which real estate strategy fits Mount Carmel, TN?

The best-fit strategy in Mount Carmel, TN is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

Is Mount Carmel, TN a friendly market for rental owners?

Mount Carmel, TN falls under TN landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

What is the typical renter like in Mount Carmel, TN?

Tenant quality in Mount Carmel, TN ranks as solid. Landlords generally report predictable occupancy at market rents of $882/mo.

Does house hacking make sense in Mount Carmel, TN?

House hacking works a challenging in Mount Carmel, TN. Rents of $882/mo against $272K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

Are there empty rentals in Mount Carmel, TN?

Vacancy in Mount Carmel, TN is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $882/mo.

You know 37645 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 37645 ranks in Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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