Real Estate Investing in Land O Lakes, Florida (34638)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pasco County • Population: 35,900 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 34638 (Land O Lakes, FL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Land O Lakes, FL (34638)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $424,793
Avg Monthly Rent $2,338
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $113,625
% Renters 19.2%

Market Analysis: 34638 Land O Lakes

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Land O Lakes's 34638 ZIP registers signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $425K pricing implies.

On the rental side, the numbers look inviting — $425K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 34638 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Within FL, ZIP 34638 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Pasco County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and sturdy enough to shape underwriting.

Stepping back, 35,900 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategy in 34638 is an operator game, not a passive one. Meanwhile, entry prices of $425K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Land O Lakes:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,338/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
71 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 34638

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
7.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$117,048/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $336,097 $2,960 6.3% +7.0% $168,049
3BR $360,083 $3,780 7.6% +7.5% $120,028
4BR $468,191 $4,610 7.1% +8.3% $117,048
5BR $591,222 +9.1% $118,244

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$498K$428K$358K$288K$218K$147KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,435$2,311$2,186$2,061$1,936$1,811Jun 2021Jan 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 34638 Compare?

Metric 34638 Land O Lakes Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Florida
Home Value $424,793 $419,552 N/A $374,697
5-Year CAGR 3.7% 3.8% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $2,338 $2,313 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.3% 4.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 34638? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 34638 (Land O Lakes, FL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Pasco County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Dennis Property Management offers rental agency and management services in the Tampa Bay area, including multi-family management, investor packages, and resources for homeowners and tenants. summary from their website

Small multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Jerome Property Management LLC offers property management services. summary from their website

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Paragon Property Services, LLC offers full-service home inspection services in Central Florida, including Lake, Sumter, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, Polk, Pasco, Hernando, Hillsborough, Volusia, and Cit summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $424,793
Monthly Rent $2,338
Price-to-Rent 15.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.6%
Cap Rate 4.3%
5-Year IRR 8.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.8% ▼
3-Year CAGR -2.2% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -2.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 34638

Population: 35,900

💰 Median Household Income
$113,625
This area
$113,625
State
$70,737
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
19.2%
This area
19.2%
State
29.9%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-18.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
41.0%
This area
41.0%
State
4.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.3 years
This area
38.3 years
State
16.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 67.8%
Other/Mixed 21.8%
Hispanic/Latino 15.3%
Black/African American 6.1%
Asian 4.3%
👶 Under 18
27.4%
This area
27.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
12.8%
This area
12.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.1%
This area
5.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 34638

C+ Avg School Grade
11 Schools
18.5:1 Avg Class Size
$11,709 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

👥
141 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

SANDERS MEMORIAL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
861 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

BEXLEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,262 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

IMAGINE SCHOOL AT LAND O' LAKES

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
895 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

OAKSTEAD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,093 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

ANGELINE ACADEMY OF INNOVATION

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
830 Students
👨‍🏫
21.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

PASCO ESCHOOL-VIRTUAL FRANCHISE

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
583 Students
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

CHARLES S. RUSHE MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,353 Students
👨‍🏫
18.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

PASCO VIRTUAL INSTRUCTION PROGRAM

📚 K – 08 School Limited Data
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C Below Average

LAND O' LAKES HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,278 Students
👨‍🏫
24.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C Below Average

SUNLAKE HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,192 Students
👨‍🏫
22.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,108 Off-Campus Students
C+
Pasco-Hernando State College
9,449 students · 7.8 mi
C+
Fred K Marchman Technical College
561 students · 10.5 mi
D
Trinity College of Florida
189 students · 10.6 mi
C
Bene's Career Academy
288 students · 12.7 mi
C
Commercial Diving Technologies Institute
177 students · 12.9 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Tampa
136 students · 13.7 mi
C
ATA Career Education
226 students · 14.1 mi
C+
Summit Salon Academy
222 students · 14.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,108 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Land O Lakes, FL a good investment right now?

Land O Lakes, FL rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $425K and rents near $2,338/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

What do landlords charge for rent in Land O Lakes, FL?

Rent in Land O Lakes, FL is around $2,338/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $425K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Land O Lakes, FL?

Occupancy in Land O Lakes, FL runs even-keeled with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $2,338/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Land O Lakes, FL?

Land O Lakes, FL is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $425K price point reasonable to enter.

What is the typical renter like in Land O Lakes, FL?

Tenant quality in Land O Lakes, FL ranks as solid. Landlords generally report measured occupancy at market rents of $2,338/mo.

You know 34638 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 34638 ranks in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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