Real Estate Investing in Estero, Florida (33928)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lee County • Population: 30,786 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 33928 (Estero, FL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 31.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.2% in the last year.

What’s happening in Estero, FL (33928)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $474,706
Avg Monthly Rent $2,437
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $95,979
% Renters 16.1%

Market Analysis: 33928 Estero

This part of Lee County is not an easy win. The 33928 ZIP records softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

For an experienced owner, 33928 can be a a viable market for hunting ground — but the discount at $475K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Statewide comparisons place 33928 among FL's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Demographically, 33928 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

New investors are better served looking at Estero's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 33928. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Estero:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,437/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
118 days
Average time to sell
Slow
6.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 33928

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
9.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$148,262/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $165,323 $2,130 9.3% +7.2% $165,323
2BR $330,923 $2,550 5.5% +8.0% $165,461
3BR $524,119 $3,330 4.6% +8.5% $174,706
4BR $639,424 $3,690 4.2% +8.7% $159,856
5BR $741,308 +9.6% $148,262

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$572K$492K$413K$333K$253K$173KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,111$2,772$2,434$2,095$1,757$1,418Jun 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 33928 Compare?

Metric 33928 Estero Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL Florida
Home Value $474,706 $474,706 N/A $374,697
5-Year CAGR 4.8% 4.8% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $2,437 $2,437 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 33928? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 33928 (Estero, FL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Lee County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Ocean Blue Property Management offers residential, multi-family, commercial, and vacation property management services in Tampa Bay and Fort Myers. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamilyCommercialShort-term rentals
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Sandcastle Community Management offers HOA and Condominium Management, professional maintenance, financial solutions, and real estate services in Florida, including Naples, Fort Myers, and Bonita Spri summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

JNS Property Management is a full-service development and management company specializing in commercial retail and office space in Central Florida. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.0%
Fair
5yr Growth
+4.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $474,706
Monthly Rent $2,437
Price-to-Rent 16.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.2%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 8.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.4% ▼
5-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -11.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -5.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.7% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
31.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 33928

Population: 30,786

💰 Median Household Income
$95,979
This area
$95,979
State
$70,737
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.1%
This area
16.1%
State
29.9%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-18.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
46.3%
This area
46.3%
State
4.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
62.1 years
This area
62.1 years
State
16.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
31.2%
This area
31.2%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.8%
Other/Mixed 6.4%
Hispanic/Latino 4.9%
Asian 2.7%
Black/African American 2.1%
👶 Under 18
12.9%
This area
12.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
43.8%
This area
43.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.8%
This area
4.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 33928

C Avg School Grade
2 Schools
22.8:1 Avg Class Size
$12,577 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

C+ Average

PINEWOODS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,053 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$12,577 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

ESTERO HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,523 Students
👨‍🏫
26.0:1 Class Size
💰
$12,577 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 4,518 Off-Campus Students
C+
Florida Gulf Coast University
16,167 students · 4.3 mi
C+
Paul Mitchell the School-Fort Myers
108 students · 6.6 mi
C
Cozmo Beauty School
68 students · 8.5 mi
C
Ave Maria School of Law
273 students · 13.4 mi
C+
Florida SouthWestern State College
13,860 students · 13.6 mi
C
Florida Academy
408 students · 13.9 mi
C
Hodges University
232 students · 13.9 mi
C
Lee Professional Institute
35 students · 14.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,518 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Estero, FL better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

For Estero, FL, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

How strong are rents in Estero, FL?

The typical rental in Estero, FL commands about $2,437/mo monthly. That rent profile reliable cash flow against the $475K purchase basis.

How tight is the rental market in Estero, FL?

Vacancy risk in Estero, FL is elevated. That supports even-keeled cash flow for typical rental holds.

How strong is tenant demand in Estero, FL?

Estero, FL draws a predictable base of working renters. Demand at the $2,437/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

What price range are homes in Estero, FL?

Median home price in Estero, FL is near $475K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been consistent and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

You know 33928 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 33928 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 33928 ranks in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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