Real Estate Investing in Williamsburg, Virginia (23188)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

James City County • Population: 45,342 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23188 (Williamsburg, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Williamsburg, VA (23188)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $476,604
Avg Monthly Rent $2,070
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $96,821
% Renters 26.5%

Market Analysis: 23188 Williamsburg

ZIP 23188 in Williamsburg, VA carries a resilient set of headwinds. Home values near $477K and rents of $2,070/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 23188 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

ZIP 23188's metrics run below James City County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 23188 ZIP's population of 45,342 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that shows the need for careful underwriting.

Strategically, 23188 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Williamsburg:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.9× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,070/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 23188

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
4.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$136,614/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $236,679 $1,600 4.9% +7.6% $236,679
2BR $305,992 $1,810 4.3% +6.8% $152,996
3BR $420,936 $2,510 4.3% +6.9% $140,312
4BR $546,458 $2,960 3.9% +7.1% $136,614
5BR $708,629 +7.9% $141,726

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$492K$447K$401K$355K$310K$264KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,135$1,947$1,758$1,570$1,382$1,194Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 23188 Compare?

Metric 23188 Williamsburg Virginia
Home Value $476,604 $472,500 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.5% 5.7% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,070 $2,080 -
Cap Rate 3.4% 3.4% -
💡 Why Invest in 23188? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23188 (Williamsburg, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.5%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $476,604
Monthly Rent $2,070
Price-to-Rent 19.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.2%
Cap Rate 3.4%
5-Year IRR 8.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +3.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23188

Population: 45,342

💰 Median Household Income
$96,821
This area
$96,821
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
26.5%
This area
26.5%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
49.7%
This area
49.7%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.7 years
This area
48.7 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.4%
This area
9.4%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 76.5%
Black/African American 13.4%
Other/Mixed 7.9%
Hispanic/Latino 4.0%
Asian 2.2%
👶 Under 18
19.2%
This area
19.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
28.4%
This area
28.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 23188

A Avg School Grade
10 Schools
12.9:1 Avg Class Size
$14,902 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Bruton High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
735 Students
👨‍🏫
2.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,125 Per Student
A Very Good

J. Blaine Blayton Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
495 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
A Very Good

Laurel Lane Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
500 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
A Very Good

Norge Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
606 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
A Very Good

D.J. Montague Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
520 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
A Very Good

Matoaka Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
601 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Lois Hornsby Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
807 Students
👨‍🏫
15.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Stonehouse Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
827 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
B Good

Lafayette High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,243 Students
👨‍🏫
17.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
B Good

Warhill High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,294 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,988 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
A
William & Mary
9,762 students · 5.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical renter like in Williamsburg, VA?

Williamsburg, VA offers a stable renter base at the $2,070/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Williamsburg, VA?

Williamsburg, VA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Where do home prices stand in Williamsburg, VA?

Williamsburg, VA median home values land near $477K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,070/mo-per-month rentals.

Can I live-in-and-rent in Williamsburg, VA?

The house hack math a challenging in Williamsburg, VA. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,070/mo rents and $477K home values.

How strict are landlord regulations in Williamsburg, VA?

Williamsburg, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect reliable treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

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How 23188 ranks in Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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