Real Estate Investing in Elkton, Virginia (22827)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Rockingham County • Population: 10,357 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22827 (Elkton, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (63/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Elkton, VA (22827)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $326,163
Avg Monthly Rent $1,134
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $60,691
% Renters 22.5%

Market Analysis: 22827 Elkton

This part of Rockingham County is not an easy win. The 22827 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 22827 shows the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 22827's metrics run below Rockingham County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Employment concentration in 22827 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

New investors are better served looking at Elkton's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 22827. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Elkton:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,134/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Harrisonburg, VA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Harrisonburg, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 22827

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+8.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$98,860/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $245,586 $1,260 3.7% +8.2% $122,793
3BR $317,690 $1,700 3.9% +7.5% $105,897
4BR $395,441 $2,090 3.8% +7.6% $98,860

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$339K$301K$263K$225K$186K$148KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22827 Compare?

Metric 22827 Elkton Harrisonburg, VA Virginia
Home Value $326,163 $326,163 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 6.2% 6.2% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,134 $1,134 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 22827? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22827 (Elkton, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.2%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Harrisonburg, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
48%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $326,163
Monthly Rent $1,134
Price-to-Rent 24.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.2%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 8.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22827

Population: 10,357

💰 Median Household Income
$60,691
This area
$60,691
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
22.5%
This area
22.5%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.2%
This area
1.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.9%
This area
12.9%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.7 years
This area
44.7 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.9%
This area
7.9%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.0%
Other/Mixed 3.6%
Black/African American 3.0%
Hispanic/Latino 1.5%
Asian 0.4%
👶 Under 18
22.5%
This area
22.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.5%
This area
21.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22827

A Avg School Grade
4 Schools
13.2:1 Avg Class Size
$14,845 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

East Rockingham High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
798 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
A Very Good

Elkton Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
608 Students
👨‍🏫
12.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
A Very Good

River Bend Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
342 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Elkton Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
293 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 136 Off-Campus Students
B
James Madison University
22,758 students · 14.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors consider Elkton, VA?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Elkton, VA reflects its $326K prices and $1,134/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within VA.

What do rentals go for in Elkton, VA?

Average rent in Elkton, VA is approximately $1,134/mo per month. Against $326K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

How strong is tenant demand in Elkton, VA?

Working renters make up the core of the Elkton, VA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Elkton, VA?

Elkton, VA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader VA rental market.

What is the median home value in Elkton, VA?

Typical homes in Elkton, VA go for around $326K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% consistent price movement.

You know 22827 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 22827 ranks in Harrisonburg, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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