Real Estate Investing in Erie, Pennsylvania (16510)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 25,152 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16510 (Erie, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GREAT FIT
Grade A (85/100)

Strong fundamentals — affordable, appreciating, and stable. A confident pick for primary residence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Erie, PA (16510)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $211,987
Avg Monthly Rent $1,144
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $59,949
% Renters 21.5%

Market Analysis: 16510 Erie

Looking more closely, ZIP 16510 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $212K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

For an experienced owner, 16510 can be a a credible choice for hunting ground — but the discount at $212K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Nearby ZIPs in Erie have seen price recovery that 16510 has not matched. Erie County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The 16510 ZIP's population of 25,152 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that posts the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 16510 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Erie:

B+ Great
Buy Confidence Score: 79/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,144/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This area shows favorable conditions for homebuyers. Solid fundamentals with reasonable affordability.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Erie, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
19 days
Average time to sell
Fast
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Erie, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16510

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+9.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$58,314/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $113,739 $950 6.0% +8.4% $113,739
2BR $145,622 $1,220 6.0% +9.4% $72,811
3BR $196,487 $1,510 5.5% +8.5% $65,496
4BR $267,427 $1,690 4.6% +9.0% $66,857
5BR $291,572 +9.2% $58,314

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$221K$196K$170K$145K$120K$95KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,174$1,142$1,110$1,078$1,047$1,015Feb 2026Apr 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 16510 Compare?

Metric 16510 Erie Erie, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $211,987 $90,364 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 7.6% 8.4% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $1,144 $1,123 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.2% 5.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16510? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16510 (Erie, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+7.6%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Erie, PA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
41%
Days Pending
0/2
19 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $211,987
Monthly Rent $1,144
Price-to-Rent 15.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.5%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 11.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16510

Population: 25,152

💰 Median Household Income
$59,949
This area
$59,949
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.5%
This area
21.5%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
24.3%
This area
24.3%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.8 years
This area
39.8 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.9%
This area
2.9%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 80.5%
Black/African American 8.7%
Other/Mixed 6.7%
Asian 4.1%
Hispanic/Latino 3.9%
👶 Under 18
24.6%
This area
24.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.3%
This area
17.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.3%
This area
11.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16510

A+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
13.3:1 Avg Class Size
$21,901 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

JoAnna Connell Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
540 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Diehl Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
458 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Rolling Ridge El Sch

📚 K – 06 School
👥
469 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,542 Per Student
A Very Good

Clark El Sch

📚 K – 06 School
👥
296 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$19,542 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 212 Off-Campus Students
C+
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Erie-Behrend College
3,323 students · 1.6 mi
C
Mercyhurst University
2,668 students · 5.1 mi
C+
Gannon University
4,548 students · 6.9 mi
D
Great Lakes Institute of Technology
303 students · 7.4 mi
C+
Erie Institute of Technology Inc
183 students · 8.0 mi
C+
Lake Erie College of Osteopathic Medicine
4,117 students · 8.1 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Erie, PA?

Median home price in Erie, PA is near $212K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been measured and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

Where do rents currently stand in Erie, PA?

Rents in Erie, PA run near $1,144/mo. Compared with median home prices of $212K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

What is the renter demographic in Erie, PA?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Erie, PA. The rental market absorbs $1,144/mo rents without meaningful friction.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Erie, PA?

The landlord environment in Erie, PA is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

Should investors consider Erie, PA?

Investors tracking Erie, PA will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $212K median home values and $1,144/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

You know 16510 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 16510 ranks in Erie, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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