Real Estate Investing in Erie, Pennsylvania (16503)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 15,204 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16503 (Erie, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (84/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 35.4% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $29,240 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

What’s happening in Erie, PA (16503)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $71,458
Avg Monthly Rent $800
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $29,240
% Renters 60.5%

Market Analysis: 16503 Erie

In Erie's 16503 ZIP, the arithmetic favors hands-on owners. Median home values comes in at $71K, leaving spread for capex-heavy BRRRR or reposition strategies.

ZIP 16503 favors investors with a contractor on speed dial. On balance, the turnkey yield looks ordinary, a renovated unit pulls stronger rent than the unrenovated $800/mo average.

Regionally, 16503 sits on the affordable end of the Erie County map. From a cash-flow lens, the absolute numbers are modest, the spread between acquisition price and post-rehab value is wider than in turnkey ZIPs.

The 16503 ZIP's demographic trend has been one of stability with upside — population of 15,204, steady renter share, and an incoming cohort that is willing to pay for improved units.

Value-add plays pencil in 16503 when three things line up: a sub-median purchase, a realistic rehab budget, and a post-rehab rent comp that stands up. All three are present in this ZIP.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Erie:

B+ Great
Buy Confidence Score: 82/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+13.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $800/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This area shows favorable conditions for homebuyers. Solid fundamentals with reasonable affordability.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Erie, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
19 days
Average time to sell
Fast
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Erie, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16503

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
17.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+12.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$13,953/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $55,004 $1,130 14.8% +12.1% $27,502
3BR $61,162 $1,400 16.5% +10.1% $20,387
4BR $64,689 $1,570 17.5% +10.4% $16,172
5BR $69,767 +9.6% $13,953

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$76K$66K$56K$46K$36K$26KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$829$817$804$791$778$765Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16503 Compare?

Metric 16503 Erie Erie, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $71,458 $90,364 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 8.6% 8.4% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $800 $1,123 N/A -
Cap Rate 8.7% 5.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16503? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $800/mo on homes averaging $71,458 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

61% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16503 (Erie, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
8.7%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+8.6%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Erie, PA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
41%
Days Pending
0/2
19 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $71,458
Monthly Rent $800
Price-to-Rent 7.4:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 13.4%
Cap Rate 8.7%
5-Year IRR 17.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +13.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +11.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +8.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 8.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (8.7%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+8.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16503

Population: 15,204

💰 Median Household Income
$29,240
This area
$29,240
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
60.5%
This area
60.5%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.6%
This area
5.6%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.2%
This area
11.2%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.0 years
This area
31.0 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.4%
This area
12.4%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 49.2%
Black/African American 37.4%
Other/Mixed 10.7%
Hispanic/Latino 5.8%
Asian 2.6%
👶 Under 18
26.4%
This area
26.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.5%
This area
8.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
35.4%
This area
35.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16503

A+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
12.7:1 Avg Class Size
$24,260 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

McKinley El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
511 Students
👨‍🏫
11.6:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

East MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
709 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Pfeiffer-Burleigh Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
612 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Jefferson El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 230 East 38th St, Erie
👥
438 Students
👨‍🏫
10.4:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Lincoln El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 831 E 31st St, Erie
👥
337 Students
👨‍🏫
10.2:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Grover Cleveland El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 1540 W 38th St, Erie
👥
571 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Northwest PA Collegiate Academy

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 2825 State St, Erie
👥
748 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Perry El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 955 W 29th St, Erie
👥
479 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 212 Off-Campus Students
C+
Gannon University
4,548 students · 1.3 mi
C
Mercyhurst University
2,668 students · 1.5 mi
D
Great Lakes Institute of Technology
303 students · 3.7 mi
C+
Lake Erie College of Osteopathic Medicine
4,117 students · 4.0 mi
C+
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Erie-Behrend College
3,323 students · 4.0 mi
C+
Erie Institute of Technology Inc
183 students · 4.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Erie, PA?

Median home price in Erie, PA is near $71K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

How close is Erie, PA to meeting the 1% rule?

With rents of $800/mo on $71K homes, Erie, PA close to the 1% rule for most properties. The actual rent-to-price ratio is 1.12%.

What is the typical rental rate in Erie, PA?

Investors in Erie, PA typically see rents near $800/mo per month against $71K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

What is the investability score for Erie, PA?

Erie, PA reports an investability rating of 5.0/5, with median home values near $71K and average rents around $800/mo. That combination puts it in the impressive tier for investor interest.

How do BRRRR numbers look in Erie, PA?

BRRRR in Erie, PA is a strong. The interplay of $71K values and $800/mo rents creates reasonable refinance conditions.

You know 16503 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 16503 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 16503 ranks in Erie, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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