Real Estate Investing in Erie, Pennsylvania (16502)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 15,815 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16502 (Erie, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 24.2% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $35,508 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

What’s happening in Erie, PA (16502)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $131,719
Avg Monthly Rent $900
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $35,508
% Renters 66.4%

Market Analysis: 16502 Erie

Turning to rents, ZIP 16502 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $132K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Put differently, the numbers look inviting — $132K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 16502 is substantial and deserves full respect.

In the broader PA picture, 16502 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The 16502 ZIP's population of 15,815 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that records the need for careful underwriting.

Strategy in 16502 is an operator game, not a passive one. On balance, entry prices of $132K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Erie:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $900/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Erie, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
19 days
Average time to sell
Fast
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Erie, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16502

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
9.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+12.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$28,919/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $108,837 $1,140 7.5% +12.6% $54,418
3BR $119,682 $1,410 8.5% +10.6% $39,894
4BR $125,487 $1,580 9.1% +10.2% $31,372
5BR $144,596 +10.6% $28,919

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$138K$122K$105K$89K$73K$57KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$979$928$877$827$776$726Mar 2023Nov 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16502 Compare?

Metric 16502 Erie Erie, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $131,719 $90,364 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 8.8% 8.4% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $900 $1,123 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.3% 5.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16502? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

66% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16502 (Erie, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+8.8%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Erie, PA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
41%
Days Pending
0/2
19 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $131,719
Monthly Rent $900
Price-to-Rent 12.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.2%
Cap Rate 5.3%
5-Year IRR 14.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +9.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +8.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -6.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.6%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+8.8%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16502

Population: 15,815

💰 Median Household Income
$35,508
This area
$35,508
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
66.4%
This area
66.4%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.1%
This area
5.1%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
32.8 years
This area
32.8 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.6%
This area
14.6%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 65.5%
Other/Mixed 19.0%
Black/African American 13.6%
Hispanic/Latino 8.2%
Asian 1.8%
👶 Under 18
21.3%
This area
21.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.2%
This area
15.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
24.2%
This area
24.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16502

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
12.5:1 Avg Class Size
$24,260 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Strong Vincent MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
722 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Jefferson El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 230 East 38th St, Erie
👥
438 Students
👨‍🏫
10.4:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Lincoln El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 831 E 31st St, Erie
👥
337 Students
👨‍🏫
10.2:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

McKinley El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 933 E 22nd St, Erie
👥
511 Students
👨‍🏫
11.6:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Westlake MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 4330 W Lake Rd, Erie
👥
477 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$21,509 Per Student
A+ Excellent

East MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 1001 Atkins St, Erie
👥
709 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$24,260 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 212 Off-Campus Students
C+
Gannon University
4,548 students · 1.4 mi
C+
Lake Erie College of Osteopathic Medicine
4,117 students · 2.1 mi
D
Great Lakes Institute of Technology
303 students · 2.2 mi
C
Mercyhurst University
2,668 students · 2.5 mi
C+
Erie Institute of Technology Inc
183 students · 2.7 mi
C+
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Erie-Behrend College
3,323 students · 6.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How much do tenants pay in Erie, PA?

Erie, PA rentals go for roughly $900/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $132K acquisition costs.

What is the renter demographic in Erie, PA?

Working renters make up the core of the Erie, PA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Is Erie, PA a good place for real estate investing?

Our data puts Erie, PA at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $132K and rents around $900/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

Is house hacking profitable in Erie, PA?

Erie, PA is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $132K price point reasonable to enter.

What investment strategy works best in Erie, PA?

Erie, PA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($132K prices, $900/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

You know 16502 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 16502 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 16502 ranks in Erie, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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