Real Estate Investing in Fairview, Pennsylvania (16415)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 10,251 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16415 (Fairview, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (75/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.8% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Fairview, PA (16415)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $384,838
Avg Monthly Rent $2,273
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $100,867
% Renters 8.3%

Market Analysis: 16415 Fairview

On the rental side, ZIP 16415 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $385K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

For an experienced owner, 16415 can be a a solid fit for hunting ground — but the discount at $385K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

The gap between 16415 and stronger Fairview ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 16415 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

seems to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Fairview:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,273/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Erie, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
19 days
Average time to sell
Fast
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Erie, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16415

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+8.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$96,323/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $248,279 $1,610 4.7% +8.0% $124,139
3BR $288,969 $1,990 5.0% +8.3% $96,323
4BR $463,305 $2,240 3.5% +8.6% $115,826
5BR $544,225 +8.7% $108,845

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$402K$353K$305K$256K$208K$159KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,288$2,252$2,216$2,180$2,144$2,108Apr 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16415 Compare?

Metric 16415 Fairview Erie, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $384,838 $384,838 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 7.6% 7.6% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $2,273 $2,273 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.6% 4.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16415? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16415 (Fairview, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+7.6%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Erie, PA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
41%
Days Pending
0/2
19 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $384,838
Monthly Rent $2,273
Price-to-Rent 14.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.1%
Cap Rate 4.6%
5-Year IRR 12.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16415

Population: 10,251

💰 Median Household Income
$100,867
This area
$100,867
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.3%
This area
8.3%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
48.9%
This area
48.9%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.2 years
This area
43.2 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.8%
This area
8.8%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 91.5%
Other/Mixed 6.4%
Hispanic/Latino 2.5%
Asian 1.6%
Black/African American 0.6%
👶 Under 18
24.6%
This area
24.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.5%
This area
21.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16415

A+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
14.8:1 Avg Class Size
$25,783 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Walnut Creek MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
423 Students
👨‍🏫
10.6:1 Class Size
💰
$21,509 Per Student
A Very Good

Asbury El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
551 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$21,509 Per Student
A Very Good

Fairview El Sch

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
690 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$28,632 Per Student
A Very Good

Fairview HS

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
604 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$28,632 Per Student
A Very Good

Fairview MS

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
598 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$28,632 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 212 Off-Campus Students
C+
Erie Institute of Technology Inc
183 students · 7.1 mi
C+
Lake Erie College of Osteopathic Medicine
4,117 students · 7.2 mi
D
Great Lakes Institute of Technology
303 students · 7.8 mi
C+
Gannon University
4,548 students · 9.9 mi
C
Mercyhurst University
2,668 students · 10.4 mi
C+
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Erie-Behrend College
3,323 students · 14.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Fairview, PA make sense for an investment property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Fairview, PA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $385K and rents of $2,273/mo drive the underlying numbers.

Which real estate strategy fits Fairview, PA?

The best-fit strategy in Fairview, PA is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

How do home values compare in Fairview, PA?

In Fairview, PA the median home value sits at $385K. Against the broader PA market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

What kind of tenants rent in Fairview, PA?

Tenant quality in Fairview, PA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report measured occupancy at market rents of $2,273/mo.

What is the average monthly rent in Fairview, PA?

Expect rents around $2,273/mo per month in Fairview, PA. With home values at $385K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

You know 16415 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 16415 ranks in Erie, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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