Real Estate Investing in Centerville, Pennsylvania (16404)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Crawford County • Population: 3,396 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16404 (Centerville, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (64/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 20.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Centerville, PA (16404)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $178,645
Avg Monthly Rent $981
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $58,942
% Renters 17.3%

Market Analysis: 16404 Centerville

ZIP 16404 in Centerville, PA carries a healthy set of headwinds. Home values near $179K and rents of $981/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

The investment case in 16404 is sturdy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $179K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

In the broader PA picture, 16404 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Resident income in 16404 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategically, 16404 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Centerville:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+24.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $981/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Meadville, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Meadville, PA metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$189K$162K$135K$108K$81K$54KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16404 Compare?

Metric 16404 Centerville Meadville, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $178,645 $178,645 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 6.1% 6.1% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $981 $981 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.3% 4.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16404? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16404 (Centerville, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.1%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Meadville, PA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
57%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $178,645
Monthly Rent $981
Price-to-Rent 15.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.6%
Cap Rate 4.3%
5-Year IRR 10.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +24.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.1%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16404

Population: 3,396

💰 Median Household Income
$58,942
This area
$58,942
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.3%
This area
17.3%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.4%
This area
4.4%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.1%
This area
12.1%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.2 years
This area
44.2 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.0%
Other/Mixed 6.8%
Hispanic/Latino 6.4%
Black/African American 0.8%
Asian 0.3%
👶 Under 18
23.9%
This area
23.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
24.0%
This area
24.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
14.6%
This area
14.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 15 Off-Campus Students
C
University of Pittsburgh-Titusville
28 students · 9.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What are vacancy rates like in Centerville, PA?

Centerville, PA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader PA rental market.

What is the smart move for investors in Centerville, PA?

Most investors in Centerville, PA run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

How strong is tenant demand in Centerville, PA?

Working renters make up the core of the Centerville, PA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Does Centerville, PA favor landlords or tenants?

Rental owners in Centerville, PA deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What is the typical home price in Centerville, PA?

Homes in Centerville, PA typically sell near $179K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which reliable long-term demand.

You know 16404 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 16404 ranks in Meadville, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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