Real Estate Investing in Waterford, Pennsylvania (16441)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 9,485 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16441 (Waterford, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (71/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Waterford, PA (16441)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $319,780
Avg Monthly Rent $1,215
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $75,453
% Renters 14.7%

Market Analysis: 16441 Waterford

The 16441 ZIP covers a section of Waterford that demands careful diligence. Prices near $320K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

From a cash-flow lens, the numbers look inviting — $320K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 16441 is substantial and deserves full respect.

The gap between 16441 and stronger Waterford ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

A durable renter share of 15% in 16441 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

New investors are better served looking at Waterford's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 16441. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Waterford:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+11.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,215/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Erie, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
19 days
Average time to sell
Fast
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Erie, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16441

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+7.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$73,706/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $226,042 $1,350 4.3% +7.3% $113,021
3BR $288,939 $1,670 4.2% +7.1% $96,313
4BR $373,054 $1,870 3.6% +7.9% $93,264
5BR $368,529 +6.9% $73,706

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$333K$295K$256K$217K$179K$140KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16441 Compare?

Metric 16441 Waterford Erie, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $319,780 $319,780 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 6.7% 6.7% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $1,215 $1,215 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16441? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16441 (Waterford, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.7%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Erie, PA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
41%
Days Pending
0/2
19 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $319,780
Monthly Rent $1,215
Price-to-Rent 21.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.6%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 9.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +11.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.7%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16441

Population: 9,485

💰 Median Household Income
$75,453
This area
$75,453
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
14.7%
This area
14.7%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.5%
This area
20.5%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
47.1 years
This area
47.1 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.5%
This area
7.5%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.7%
Other/Mixed 3.9%
Hispanic/Latino 2.1%
Black/African American 0.2%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
21.8%
This area
21.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.4%
This area
18.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.1%
This area
5.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16441

A+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
13.2:1 Avg Class Size
$19,105 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Fort LeBoeuf MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
478 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,105 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Fort LeBoeuf SHS

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
679 Students
👨‍🏫
14.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,105 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Waterford El Sch

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
353 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,105 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 212 Off-Campus Students
C+
Erie Institute of Technology Inc
183 students · 10.0 mi
D
Great Lakes Institute of Technology
303 students · 10.2 mi
C+
Lake Erie College of Osteopathic Medicine
4,117 students · 10.6 mi
C
Mercyhurst University
2,668 students · 11.0 mi
C+
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Erie-Behrend College
3,323 students · 11.3 mi
C+
Gannon University
4,548 students · 13.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in Waterford, PA?

Homes in Waterford, PA typically sell near $320K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which stable long-term demand.

Does house hacking make sense in Waterford, PA?

For house hackers, Waterford, PA is a challenging. The $1,215/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $320K property.

Are renters plentiful in Waterford, PA?

The tenant pool in Waterford, PA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,215/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What do landlords charge for rent in Waterford, PA?

The typical rental in Waterford, PA commands about $1,215/mo monthly. That rent profile stable cash flow against the $320K purchase basis.

Are there empty rentals in Waterford, PA?

Vacancy risk in Waterford, PA is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

You know 16441 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 16441 ranks in Erie, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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