Real Estate Investing in Carthage, New York (13638)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Jefferson County • Population: 172 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 13638 (Carthage, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Carthage, NY (13638)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $186,577
Avg Monthly Rent $1,044
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income N/A
% Renters 60.5%

Market Analysis: 13638 Carthage

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Carthage's 13638 ZIP posts signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $187K pricing implies.

The 13638 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Within NY, ZIP 13638 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Jefferson County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and solid enough to shape underwriting.

The 13638 ZIP's population of 172 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that stands at the need for careful underwriting.

Strategy in 13638 is an operator game, not a passive one. Meanwhile, entry prices of $187K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Carthage:

Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost × the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+11.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,044/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
10.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Watertown-Fort Drum, NY metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$194K$172K$149K$126K$103K$80KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 13638 Compare?

Metric 13638 Carthage Watertown-Fort Drum, NY New York
Home Value $186,577 $197,175 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 6.3% 6.4% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,044 $1,076 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.4% 4.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 13638? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

61% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 13638 (Carthage, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.3%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $186,577
Monthly Rent $1,044
Price-to-Rent 14.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.7%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR 10.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +11.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
0.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.3%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 13638

Population: 172

💰 Median Household Income
N/A
🏠 Renter Occupied
60.5%
This area
60.5%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
23.8 years
This area
23.8 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
33.3%
This area
33.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
3.0%
This area
3.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 13638

Nearby Schools (1 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

BLACK RIVER SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
📍 160 LERAY ST, BLACK RIVER
👥
546 Students
👨‍🏫
11.6:1 Class Size
💰
$27,385 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 630 Off-Campus Students
C
Jefferson Community College
2,252 students · 9.2 mi
D
Jefferson Lewis BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
23 students · 11.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 630 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What price range are homes in Carthage, NY?

In Carthage, NY the median home value sits at $187K. Against the broader NY market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

Is the tenant base reliable in Carthage, NY?

Carthage, NY offers a predictable renter base at the $1,044/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

What type of investing works in Carthage, NY?

Most investors in Carthage, NY run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

How quickly do rentals get leased in Carthage, NY?

Carthage, NY sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader NY rental market.

Is Carthage, NY a friendly market for rental owners?

Rental owners in Carthage, NY deal with a tenant-protective legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

You know 13638 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 13638 ranks in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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