Real Estate Investing in Tomkins Cove, New York (10986)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Rockland County • Population: 1,402 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 10986 (Tomkins Cove, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (73/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Tomkins Cove, NY (10986)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $710,365
Avg Monthly Rent $2,727
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $155,417
% Renters 11.1%

Market Analysis: 10986 Tomkins Cove

Investors eyeing 10986 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $710K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 10986 clocks in at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Within NY, ZIP 10986 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Rockland County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and significant enough to shape underwriting.

Who lives in 10986 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The right play in 10986 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tomkins Cove:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 65/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,727/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 10986

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+9.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$195,764/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $587,291 $3,780 4.6% +9.0% $195,764
4BR $800,300 $4,060 3.7% +9.6% $200,075

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$737K$659K$581K$503K$425K$346KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 10986 Compare?

Metric 10986 Tomkins Cove New York
Home Value $710,365 $710,365 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 7.2% 7.2% 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,727 $2,727 -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 10986? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 10986 (Tomkins Cove, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $710,365
Monthly Rent $2,727
Price-to-Rent 21.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.6%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 10.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 10986

Population: 1,402

💰 Median Household Income
$155,417
This area
$155,417
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
11.1%
This area
11.1%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.4%
This area
4.4%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
37.6%
This area
37.6%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
47.1 years
This area
47.1 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 84.6%
Other/Mixed 8.3%
Hispanic/Latino 7.8%
Black/African American 4.3%
Asian 2.7%
👶 Under 18
14.2%
This area
14.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.1%
This area
14.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 10986

Nearby Schools (1 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

BUCHANAN-VERPLANCK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 02 – 03 Elementary
📍 160 WESTCHESTER AVE, BUCHANAN
👥
327 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$37,704 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 17 Off-Campus Students
C+
Empire Beauty School-Peekskill
42 students · 4.0 mi
B
Ohr Hameir Theological Seminary
94 students · 5.5 mi
A
United States Military Academy
4,508 students · 7.8 mi
B+
Uta Mesivta of Kiryas Joel
2,729 students · 9.4 mi
C
Derech Hachaim Seminary
285 students · 9.6 mi
B
Be'er Yaakov Talmudic Seminary
679 students · 9.9 mi
B
Kehilath Yakov Rabbinical Seminary
206 students · 10.2 mi
C
Rockland County BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
29 students · 10.9 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in Tomkins Cove, NY?

Median home price in Tomkins Cove, NY is near $710K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been stable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

Does Tomkins Cove, NY favor landlords or tenants?

Tomkins Cove, NY operates under NY law, which is tenant-protective overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How high is vacancy risk in Tomkins Cove, NY?

Tomkins Cove, NY carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect predictable absorption at market rents of $2,727/mo.

Is Tomkins Cove, NY good for house hacking?

House hacking in Tomkins Cove, NY is a challenging. With home values around $710K and rents at $2,727/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

How do experienced investors play Tomkins Cove, NY?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Tomkins Cove, NY. The numbers - $710K homes against $2,727/mo rents - support that play.

You know 10986 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 10986 ranks in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA

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