Real Estate Investing in Clam Gulch, Alaska (99568)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Kenai Peninsula Borough • Population: 498 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 99568 (Clam Gulch, AK)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 38.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Clam Gulch, AK (99568)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $282,667
Avg Monthly Rent $1,296
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $89,583
% Renters 4.7%

Market Analysis: 99568 Clam Gulch

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Clam Gulch's 99568 ZIP sits at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $283K pricing implies.

Rent of $1,296/mo on a $283K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 99568 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

In the broader AK picture, 99568 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Resident income in 99568 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategy in 99568 is an operator game, not a passive one. Put differently, entry prices of $283K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.95% as of Sep 17 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Clam Gulch:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+13.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,296/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$293K$263K$232K$201K$171K$140KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 99568 Compare?

Metric 99568 Clam Gulch Alaska
Home Value $282,667 $282,667 $378,640
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 2.5% 3.6%
Avg Rent $1,296 $1,296 -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% -

Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles

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💡 Why Invest in 99568? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 99568 (Clam Gulch, AK). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $282,667
Monthly Rent $1,296
Price-to-Rent 18.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 6.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +13.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 7.0%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (7.0%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
38.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Moderate

Demographics in 99568

Population: 498

💰 Median Household Income
$89,583
This area
$89,583
State
$64,271
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
4.7%
This area
4.7%
State
30.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.6%
This area
4.6%
State
-13.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
23.4%
This area
23.4%
State
-3.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.2 years
This area
53.2 years
State
2.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
38.5%
This area
38.5%
State
37.0%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 94.0%
Other/Mixed 5.9%
Hispanic/Latino 1.0%
👶 Under 18
13.8%
This area
13.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.2%
This area
23.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical renter like in Clam Gulch, AK?

Clam Gulch, AK offers a even-keeled renter base at the $1,296/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Is AK a landlord-friendly state?

Landlord-friendliness in Clam Gulch, AK is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What are home prices like in Clam Gulch, AK?

Median home price in Clam Gulch, AK is near $283K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been stable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Clam Gulch, AK?

Occupancy in Clam Gulch, AK runs measured with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,296/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

What is the best play in Clam Gulch, AK?

For Clam Gulch, AK, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

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