Real Estate Investing in Smartsville, California (95977)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nevada County • Population: 1,738 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95977 (Smartsville, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (31/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 16.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -0.6% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Smartsville, CA (95977)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $459,155
Avg Monthly Rent $1,773
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $96,071
% Renters 4.7%

Market Analysis: 95977 Smartsville

The 95977 ZIP in Smartsville, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $459K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 95977 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Within CA, ZIP 95977 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Nevada County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and resilient enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 95977 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. robust returns are possible in 95977, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Smartsville:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 45/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.8× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,773/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Truckee-Grass Valley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
47 days
Average time to sell
Average
8.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Truckee-Grass Valley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95977

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+2.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$155,256/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $397,243 $1,970 3.6% +1.5% $198,621
3BR $465,769 $2,750 4.3% +2.5% $155,256

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$548K$468K$387K$307K$226K$146KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95977 Compare?

Metric 95977 Smartsville Truckee-Grass Valley, CA California
Home Value $459,155 $459,155 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,773 $1,773 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95977 (Smartsville, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.6%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $459,155
Monthly Rent $1,773
Price-to-Rent 21.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.6%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 2.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
10-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
16.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.6%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95977

Population: 1,738

💰 Median Household Income
$96,071
This area
$96,071
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
4.7%
This area
4.7%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
19.2%
This area
19.2%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.4 years
This area
40.4 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
16.4%
This area
16.4%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 73.3%
Other/Mixed 21.1%
Hispanic/Latino 5.0%
Black/African American 2.9%
Asian 2.7%
👶 Under 18
18.2%
This area
18.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.5%
This area
23.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 1,812 Off-Campus Students
C
Yuba College
5,735 students · 13.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,812 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Smartsville, CA a good investment right now?

The 2.0/5 investability rating in Smartsville, CA reflects its $459K prices and $1,773/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within CA.

How strict are landlord regulations in Smartsville, CA?

Landlord-friendliness in Smartsville, CA is tenant-protective. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What real estate strategy is ideal for Smartsville, CA?

In Smartsville, CA the notable play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $459K prices and $1,773/mo rents suits that approach.

How deep is the rental pool in Smartsville, CA?

Tenant demand in Smartsville, CA is solid. The local workforce $1,773/mo rents across most rental classes.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Smartsville, CA?

Smartsville, CA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader CA rental market.

You know 95977 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95977 ranks in Truckee-Grass Valley, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation →
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