Real Estate Investing in Mariposa, California (95338)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Mariposa County • Population: 10,164 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95338 (Mariposa, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (25/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.4% CAGR).
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.4 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Mariposa, CA (95338)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $401,604
Avg Monthly Rent $1,269
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $58,042
% Renters 26.5%

Market Analysis: 95338 Mariposa

The 95338 ZIP in Mariposa, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $402K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

From an investor standpoint, the numbers look inviting — $402K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 95338 is substantial and deserves full respect.

ZIP 95338's metrics run below Mariposa County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

A durable renter share of 27% in 95338 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 95338 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Mariposa:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 49/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.9× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,269/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 95338

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
3.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+5.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$126,629/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $287,089 $1,110 2.8% +3.8% $287,089
2BR $342,679 $1,410 3.0% +4.4% $171,339
3BR $423,283 $1,960 3.3% $141,094
4BR $506,517 $2,370 3.4% +5.0% $126,629

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$447K$391K$334K$278K$222K$166KJan 2007Oct 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95338 Compare?

Metric 95338 Mariposa California
Home Value $401,604 $401,604 $761,003
5-Year CAGR 0.4% 0.4% 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,269 $1,269 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.5% -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95338 (Mariposa, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+0.4%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $401,604
Monthly Rent $1,269
Price-to-Rent 26.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.8%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 2.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95338

Population: 10,164

💰 Median Household Income
$58,042
This area
$58,042
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
26.5%
This area
26.5%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
28.5%
This area
28.5%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.8 years
This area
54.8 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.3%
This area
14.3%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 83.7%
Other/Mixed 14.8%
Hispanic/Latino 5.6%
Asian 1.2%
Black/African American 0.4%
👶 Under 18
20.5%
This area
20.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
33.8%
This area
33.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.8%
This area
11.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95338

B Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.9:1 Avg Class Size
$62,248 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Mariposa County High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
457 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$18,946 Per Student
A Very Good

Monarch Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
50 Students
👨‍🏫
8.4:1 Class Size
💰
$134,417 Per Student
B+ Above Average

County Community

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
4 Students
👨‍🏫
4.0:1 Class Size
💰
$134,417 Per Student
B Good

Mariposa Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
383 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
💰
$18,946 Per Student
B Good

Woodland Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
444 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$18,946 Per Student
B Good

Spring Hill High (Continuation)

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
29 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$18,946 Per Student
C+ Average

Sierra Home

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
49 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$18,946 Per Student
C+ Average

Spring Hill Opportunity

📚 K – 08 School Limited Data
💰
$134,417 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Mariposa, CA a good investment right now?

Our data puts Mariposa, CA at 2.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $402K and rents around $1,269/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

Where do home prices stand in Mariposa, CA?

Typical homes in Mariposa, CA go for around $402K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% stable price movement.

How much is rent in Mariposa, CA?

Average rent in Mariposa, CA is approximately $1,269/mo per month. Against $402K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Are there empty rentals in Mariposa, CA?

Mariposa, CA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect stable absorption at market rents of $1,269/mo.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Mariposa, CA?

Mariposa, CA offers a even-keeled renter base at the $1,269/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

You know 95338 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95338 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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