Real Estate Investing in North Fork, California (93643)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Madera County • Population: 2,778 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 93643 (North Fork, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (34/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 21.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Higher unemployment: 8.2% unemployment — tenant risk signal.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 28.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in North Fork, CA (93643)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $397,661
Avg Monthly Rent $1,161
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $65,309
% Renters 22.2%

Market Analysis: 93643 North Fork

On balance, ZIP 93643 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $398K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 93643 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Statewide comparisons place 93643 among CA's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Employment concentration in 93643 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in North Fork:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 51/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,161/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Madera, CA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
61 days
Average time to sell
Slow
6.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Madera, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 93643

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+5.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$130,752/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $308,391 $1,290 3.0% +5.1% $154,195
3BR $415,284 $1,810 3.1% +5.6% $138,428
4BR $523,006 $2,070 2.8% +5.1% $130,752

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$426K$371K$317K$262K$208K$154KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 93643 Compare?

Metric 93643 North Fork Madera, CA California
Home Value $397,661 $397,661 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 2.1% 2.1% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,161 $1,161 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.3% 2.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 93643? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 93643 (North Fork, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.1%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Madera, CA metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
47%
Days Pending
2/2
61 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $397,661
Monthly Rent $1,161
Price-to-Rent 28.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.5%
Cap Rate 2.3%
5-Year IRR 4.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
21.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 93643

Population: 2,778

💰 Median Household Income
$65,309
This area
$65,309
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
22.2%
This area
22.2%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
8.2%
This area
8.2%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
60.6 years
This area
60.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
21.5%
This area
21.5%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 76.3%
Other/Mixed 22.1%
Hispanic/Latino 5.1%
Asian 1.4%
Black/African American 0.1%
👶 Under 18
13.5%
This area
13.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
39.3%
This area
39.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.5%
This area
10.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 93643

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
12.0:1 Avg Class Size
$15,518 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Mountain Oaks High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
14 Students
👨‍🏫
4.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,518 Per Student
B Good

North Fork Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
208 Students
👨‍🏫
19.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,518 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is the working-renter base in North Fork, CA?

Tenant quality in North Fork, CA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report stable occupancy at market rents of $1,161/mo.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in North Fork, CA?

Rental vacancy in North Fork, CA is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

How much does a house cost in North Fork, CA?

Median home price in North Fork, CA is near $398K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What is the average monthly rent in North Fork, CA?

The typical rental in North Fork, CA commands about $1,161/mo monthly. That rent profile even-keeled cash flow against the $398K purchase basis.

Is North Fork, CA a friendly market for rental owners?

Rental owners in North Fork, CA deal with a tenant-protective legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

You know 93643 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 93643 ranks in Madera, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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