Real Estate Investing in Shafter, California (93263)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Kern County • Population: 23,423 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 93263 (Shafter, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (63/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 21.4% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

What’s happening in Shafter, CA (93263)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $386,466
Avg Monthly Rent $2,640
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,145
% Renters 38.3%

Market Analysis: 93263 Shafter

This part of Kern County is not an easy win. The 93263 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The 93263 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Nearby ZIPs in Shafter have seen price recovery that 93263 has not matched. Kern County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Employment concentration in 93263 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The 93263 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Shafter:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,640/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Bakersfield, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
54 days
Average time to sell
Average
8.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Bakersfield, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 93263

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$102,365/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $223,058 $1,490 4.8% +5.8% $111,529
3BR $330,069 $2,070 4.5% +7.1% $110,023
4BR $427,464 $2,500 4.2% +7.0% $106,866
5BR $511,826 +7.7% $102,365

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$408K$346K$283K$221K$158K$96KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 93263 Compare?

Metric 93263 Shafter Bakersfield, CA California
Home Value $386,466 $386,466 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 5.1% 5.1% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,640 $2,640 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.3% 5.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 93263? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 38% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 93263 (Shafter, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Kern County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Aipmbakersfield.com is a premium expired .com domain for sale on GoDaddy. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Mashcole Property Management, Inc. is a full-service property management company serving Los Angeles, Long Beach, Calabasas, Torrance, San Fernando Valley, Orange County, Downey, Anaheim, Riverside Co summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Coming Soon re-synergy.com We're under construction. Please check back for an update soon. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+5.1%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Bakersfield, CA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
42%
Days Pending
1/2
54 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $386,466
Monthly Rent $2,640
Price-to-Rent 12.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.2%
Cap Rate 5.3%
5-Year IRR 10.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 93263

Population: 23,423

💰 Median Household Income
$64,145
This area
$64,145
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
38.3%
This area
38.3%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.6%
This area
4.6%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.5%
This area
11.5%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
27.7 years
This area
27.7 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.4%
This area
5.4%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 50.9%
Other/Mixed 46.7%
Hispanic/Latino 44.4%
Black/African American 1.7%
Asian 0.7%
👶 Under 18
33.2%
This area
33.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
7.3%
This area
7.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
21.4%
This area
21.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 93263

B Avg School Grade
8 Schools
19.7:1 Avg Class Size
$18,187 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Golden Oak Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
713 Students
👨‍🏫
17.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,560 Per Student
A Very Good

Richland Junior High

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
585 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,560 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Redwood Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
637 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,560 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Sequoia Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
588 Students
👨‍🏫
18.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,560 Per Student
B Good

Central Valley High (Continuation)

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
95 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,114 Per Student
C+ Average

Maple Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
285 Students
👨‍🏫
22.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,906 Per Student
C+ Average

Shafter High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,655 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,114 Per Student
C+ Average

Grow Academy Shafter

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
810 Students
👨‍🏫
26.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,120 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 1,742 Off-Campus Students
D
California Aeronautical University
388 students · 13.4 mi
C+
California State University-Bakersfield
9,787 students · 13.6 mi
C
UEI College-Bakersfield
1,385 students · 14.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,742 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the investability score for Shafter, CA?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Shafter, CA reflects its $386K prices and $2,640/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within CA.

How much do tenants pay in Shafter, CA?

Investors in Shafter, CA typically see rents near $2,640/mo per month against $386K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Shafter, CA?

Occupancy in Shafter, CA runs measured with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $2,640/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Shafter, CA?

Shafter, CA median home values land near $386K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,640/mo-per-month rentals.

How do experienced investors play Shafter, CA?

Shafter, CA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($386K prices, $2,640/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

You know 93263 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 93263 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 93263 ranks in Bakersfield, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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