Real Estate Investing in Thermal, California (92274)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Riverside County • Population: 17,909 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 92274 (Thermal, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
5 flags
  • High vacancy: 20.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 23.6% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Higher unemployment: 9.4% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Thermal, CA (92274)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $303,400
Avg Monthly Rent $1,872
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $30,489
% Renters 13.6%

Market Analysis: 92274 Thermal

ZIP 92274 in Thermal, CA carries a sturdy set of headwinds. Home values near $303K and rents of $1,872/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 92274 can be a a strong candidate for hunting ground — but the discount at $303K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Regionally, 92274 sits on the difficult end of the CA spectrum. The worth a close look for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Resident income in 92274 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

New investors are better served looking at Thermal's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 92274. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Thermal:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 10× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,872/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
60 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 92274

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
7.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+10.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$81,598/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $243,903 $2,080 6.1% +10.8% $121,951
3BR $304,822 $2,780 6.6% +10.9% $101,607
4BR $326,390 $3,380 7.5% +10.3% $81,598

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$323K$267K$211K$155K$100K$44KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 92274 Compare?

Metric 92274 Thermal Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA California
Home Value $303,400 $303,400 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 7.6% 7.6% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,872 $1,872 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.8% 4.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 92274? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 92274 (Thermal, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Riverside County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

33 Property Management offers residential and multi-family property management services in North County San Diego and Riverside, CA. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Albert Association Management provides HOA and community association management services in Palm Desert. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

All County Desert offers full-service residential property management in Palm Desert and Coachella Valley, focusing exclusively on maximizing property investment returns. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.8%
Fair
5yr Growth
+7.6%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $303,400
Monthly Rent $1,872
Price-to-Rent 13.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.4%
Cap Rate 4.8%
5-Year IRR 12.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 92274

Population: 17,909

💰 Median Household Income
$30,489
This area
$30,489
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.6%
This area
13.6%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
9.4%
This area
9.4%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.8 years
This area
39.8 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 82.1%
Hispanic/Latino 81.0%
White 17.6%
Black/African American 0.2%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
19.0%
This area
19.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.7%
This area
14.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 92274

B Avg School Grade
9 Schools
19.1:1 Avg Class Size
$19,847 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

John Kelley Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
496 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Las Palmitas Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
582 Students
👨‍🏫
21.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Oasis Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
491 Students
👨‍🏫
21.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Westside Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
336 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Toro Canyon Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
938 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B Good

La Familia Continuation High

📚 10 – 12 High School
👥
235 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B Good

Desert Mirage High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,974 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
B Good

Coachella Valley USD Special Ed PreK

📚 Grade M Elementary Limited Data
💰
$19,847 Per Student
C+ Average

Coachella Valley High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,345 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,847 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Do rentals sit vacant long in Thermal, CA?

Occupancy in Thermal, CA runs reliable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,872/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

How much rent can I charge in Thermal, CA?

Rental rates in Thermal, CA average $1,872/mo. Tenant demand and $303K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

What is the smart move for investors in Thermal, CA?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Thermal, CA best. The market produces reliable results for that approach at the $303K price point.

How do home values compare in Thermal, CA?

Median home price in Thermal, CA is near $303K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been stable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

How strong is Thermal, CA for real estate investors?

Our data puts Thermal, CA at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $303K and rents around $1,872/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

You know 92274 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 92274 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 92274 ranks in Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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