Real Estate Investing in Gila, New Mexico (88038)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Grant County • Population: 592 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 88038 (Gila, NM)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (33/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 27.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Higher unemployment: 14.8% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Gila, NM (88038)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $201,807
Avg Monthly Rent $945
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income N/A
% Renters 0.0%

Market Analysis: 88038 Gila

The 88038 ZIP in Gila, NM is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $202K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Rent of $945/mo on a $202K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 88038 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Nearby ZIPs in Gila have seen price recovery that 88038 has not matched. Grant County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The demographic picture in 88038 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Gila averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

The right play in 88038 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Gila:

Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost × the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $945/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Silver City, NM Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Silver City, NM metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$218K$201K$184K$167K$150K$133KFeb 2019Nov 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 88038 Compare?

Metric 88038 Gila Silver City, NM New Mexico
Home Value $201,807 $201,807 N/A $308,799
5-Year CAGR 2.4% 2.4% N/A 7.3%
Avg Rent $945 $945 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.7% 3.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 88038? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 88038 (Gila, NM). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.4%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Silver City, NM metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $201,807
Monthly Rent $945
Price-to-Rent 17.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.6%
Cap Rate 3.7%
5-Year IRR 6.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR -1.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
27.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 88038

Population: 592

💰 Median Household Income
N/A
🏠 Renter Occupied
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
21.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
14.8%
This area
14.8%
State
-32.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.0%
This area
27.0%
State
-18.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
45.7 years
This area
45.7 years
State
-44.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
27.9%
This area
27.9%
State
29.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 61.4%
Other/Mixed 38.6%
Hispanic/Latino 27.4%
👶 Under 18
17.9%
This area
17.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.5%
This area
19.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in Gila, NM?

The median home value in Gila, NM is roughly $202K. That puts it reasonable relative to the NM statewide average.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Gila, NM?

Rental vacancy in Gila, NM is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

How should investors approach Gila, NM?

In Gila, NM the resilient play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $202K prices and $945/mo rents suits that approach.

Is Gila, NM good for landlords?

For rental operators, Gila, NM rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

What is the tenant pool like in Gila, NM?

The tenant pool in Gila, NM is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $945/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

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How 88038 ranks in Silver City, NM

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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