Real Estate Investing in Cerrillos, New Mexico (87010)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Santa Fe County • Population: 1,147 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 87010 (Cerrillos, NM)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (24/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 22.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.2% CAGR).
  • Lower household income: $37,285 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Cerrillos, NM (87010)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $400,138
Avg Monthly Rent $1,494
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $37,285
% Renters 44.1%

Market Analysis: 87010 Cerrillos

Investors eyeing 87010 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $400K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Turning to rents, the numbers look inviting — $400K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 87010 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Within NM, ZIP 87010 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Santa Fe County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and sturdy enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 87010 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 87010 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Cerrillos:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 44/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 10.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,494/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Santa Fe, NM Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
58 days
Average time to sell
Average
8.3%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Santa Fe, NM metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 87010

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
3.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+4.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$161,300/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $274,997 $1,370 3.6% +3.8% $274,997
2BR $360,901 $1,660 3.3% +4.2% $180,450
3BR $483,899 $2,090 3.1% +3.7% $161,300

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$416K$370K$325K$280K$234K$189KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 87010 Compare?

Metric 87010 Cerrillos Santa Fe, NM New Mexico
Home Value $400,138 $400,138 N/A $308,799
5-Year CAGR 1.2% 1.2% N/A 7.3%
Avg Rent $1,494 $1,494 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 87010? Click to expand

A healthy rental market with 44% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 87010 (Cerrillos, NM). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.2%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Santa Fe, NM metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
67%
Days Pending
1/2
58 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $400,138
Monthly Rent $1,494
Price-to-Rent 22.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.5%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 4.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.2%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 87010

Population: 1,147

💰 Median Household Income
$37,285
This area
$37,285
State
$55,880
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
44.1%
This area
44.1%
State
21.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.2%
This area
1.2%
State
-32.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
61.2%
This area
61.2%
State
-18.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
59.1 years
This area
59.1 years
State
-44.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.9%
This area
22.9%
State
29.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 91.3%
Other/Mixed 6.1%
Hispanic/Latino 4.8%
Black/African American 2.6%
👶 Under 18
6.7%
This area
6.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
37.7%
This area
37.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Institute of American Indian and Alaska Native Culture and Arts Development
831 students · 14.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Cerrillos, NM?

Median home price in Cerrillos, NM is near $400K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been measured and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What is the typical renter like in Cerrillos, NM?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Cerrillos, NM. The rental market absorbs $1,494/mo rents without meaningful friction.

Is vacancy a concern in Cerrillos, NM?

Vacancy in Cerrillos, NM is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,494/mo.

How do experienced investors play Cerrillos, NM?

In Cerrillos, NM the notable play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $400K prices and $1,494/mo rents suits that approach.

Is Cerrillos, NM landlord-friendly?

Rental owners in Cerrillos, NM deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

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How 87010 ranks in Santa Fe, NM

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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