Real Estate Investing in Vernal, Utah (84078)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Uintah County • Population: 30,669 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 84078 (Vernal, UT)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 14.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Vernal, UT (84078)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $359,414
Avg Monthly Rent $1,502
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $70,694
% Renters 28.1%

Market Analysis: 84078 Vernal

From an investor standpoint, ZIP 84078 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $359K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 84078 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Within UT, ZIP 84078 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Uintah County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and durable enough to shape underwriting.

The demographic picture in 84078 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Vernal averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Vernal:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 69/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.1× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,502/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Vernal, UT Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Vernal, UT metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 84078

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
3.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+11.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$95,178/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $231,666 $1,020 3.2% +11.3% $115,833
3BR $311,127 $1,390 3.2% +10.3% $103,709
4BR $380,711 $1,710 3.2% +10.3% $95,178
5BR $478,328 +10.4% $95,666

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$375K$331K$287K$243K$199K$155KMar 2009Nov 2017Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,579$1,540$1,502$1,463$1,425$1,386Jan 2025Oct 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 84078 Compare?

Metric 84078 Vernal Vernal, UT Utah
Home Value $359,414 $359,414 N/A $530,173
5-Year CAGR 8.6% 8.6% N/A 7.0%
Avg Rent $1,502 $1,502 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 84078? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 84078 (Vernal, UT). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+8.6%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Vernal, UT metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $359,414
Monthly Rent $1,502
Price-to-Rent 20.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 11.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +8.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.8% ▼
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+8.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 84078

Population: 30,669

💰 Median Household Income
$70,694
This area
$70,694
State
$79,091
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
28.1%
This area
28.1%
State
22.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-24.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
19.5%
This area
19.5%
State
0.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.6 years
This area
31.6 years
State
-1.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.3%
This area
14.3%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 85.6%
Other/Mixed 13.4%
Hispanic/Latino 5.7%
Black/African American 0.5%
Asian 0.5%
👶 Under 18
32.9%
This area
32.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.9%
This area
10.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.3%
This area
7.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 84078

C+ Avg School Grade
12 Schools
26.4:1 Avg Class Size
$11,132 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Ashley School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
504 Students
👨‍🏫
20.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
B Good

Davis School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
438 Students
👨‍🏫
21.4:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
B Good

Naples School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
498 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
B Good

Uintah Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
595 Students
👨‍🏫
20.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
C+ Average

Discovery School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
675 Students
👨‍🏫
23.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
C+ Average

Maeser School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
541 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
C+ Average

Terra Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
622 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$10,059 Per Student
C+ Average

Vernal Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
831 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
C Below Average

Uintah Online School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
51 Students
💰
$11,230 Per Student
C Below Average

Ashley Valley Educ. Ctr.

📚 08 – 12 High School
👥
297 Students
💰
$11,230 Per Student
C Below Average

Uintah High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,856 Students
👨‍🏫
25.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

Uintah Specialized Preschool

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
204 Students
👨‍🏫
68.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,230 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which investment style suits Vernal, UT?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Vernal, UT best. The market produces predictable results for that approach at the $359K price point.

What is the typical renter like in Vernal, UT?

Tenant quality in Vernal, UT ranks as solid. Landlords generally report steady occupancy at market rents of $1,502/mo.

Is Vernal in UT worth investing in?

Investors tracking Vernal, UT will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $359K median home values and $1,502/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting even-keeled returns.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Vernal, UT?

Vernal, UT offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,502/mo rent level.

How do home values compare in Vernal, UT?

Homes in Vernal, UT typically sell near $359K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which predictable long-term demand.

You know 84078 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 84078 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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