Real Estate Investing in Buchanan Dam, Texas (78609)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Llano County • Population: 1,826 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78609 (Buchanan Dam, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (27/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 36.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -0.1% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 34.8 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Buchanan Dam, TX (78609)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $368,178
Avg Monthly Rent $882
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $67,578
% Renters 17.5%

Market Analysis: 78609 Buchanan Dam

On balance, ZIP 78609 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $368K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 78609 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

ZIP 78609's metrics run below Llano County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Resident income in 78609 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategy in 78609 is an operator game, not a passive one. On balance, entry prices of $368K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Buchanan Dam:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 45/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $882/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 78609

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
2.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$141,723/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $283,446 $980 2.5% +5.7% $141,723
3BR $429,227 $1,360 2.3% +6.3% $143,076

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$489K$423K$357K$291K$225K$159KApr 2009Dec 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78609 Compare?

Metric 78609 Buchanan Dam Texas
Home Value $368,178 $368,178 $297,000
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $882 $882 -
Cap Rate 1.9% 1.9% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78609 (Buchanan Dam, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.9%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.1%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $368,178
Monthly Rent $882
Price-to-Rent 34.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.9%
Cap Rate 1.9%
5-Year IRR 1.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.1% ▼
10-Year CAGR +5.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
36.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78609

Population: 1,826

💰 Median Household Income
$67,578
This area
$67,578
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.5%
This area
17.5%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.1%
This area
0.1%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.3%
This area
27.3%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
63.2 years
This area
63.2 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
36.7%
This area
36.7%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.1%
Other/Mixed 6.7%
Hispanic/Latino 2.7%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
14.9%
This area
14.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
44.4%
This area
44.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Buchanan Dam, TX?

Buchanan Dam, TX home values average about $368K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $882/mo in monthly income.

Is the tenant base reliable in Buchanan Dam, TX?

Tenant quality in Buchanan Dam, TX ranks as solid. Landlords generally report even-keeled occupancy at market rents of $882/mo.

How strict are landlord regulations in Buchanan Dam, TX?

For rental operators, Buchanan Dam, TX rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

How high is vacancy risk in Buchanan Dam, TX?

Buchanan Dam, TX sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader TX rental market.

Can I live-in-and-rent in Buchanan Dam, TX?

Buchanan Dam, TX is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $368K price point reasonable to enter.

You know 78609 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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