Real Estate Investing in Water Valley, Kentucky (42085)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hickman County • Population: 918 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 42085 (Water Valley, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (81/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.1% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Water Valley, KY (42085)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $108,364
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $56,182
% Renters 3.9%

Market Analysis: 42085 Water Valley

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Water Valley's 42085 ZIP shows signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $108K pricing implies.

Turning to rents, the numbers look inviting — $108K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 42085 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Stepping back, 42085 offers a low basis, the region around Water Valley has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

In practical terms, 918 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

The 42085 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Water Valley:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Mayfield, KY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
12.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Mayfield, KY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 42085

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
9.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+10.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$32,682/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $65,365 $870 9.6% +10.7% $32,682
3BR $141,975 $1,200 6.1% +9.4% $47,325

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$117K$103K$88K$73K$59K$44KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 42085 Compare?

Metric 42085 Water Valley Mayfield, KY Kentucky
Home Value $108,364 $108,364 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 5.3% 5.3% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $783 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.6% 5.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 42085? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 42085 (Water Valley, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+5.3%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Mayfield, KY metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $108,364
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 11.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.7%
Cap Rate 5.6%
5-Year IRR 10.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
10.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 42085

Population: 918

💰 Median Household Income
$56,182
This area
$56,182
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
6.9%
This area
6.9%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
47.7 years
This area
47.7 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
10.1%
This area
10.1%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 83.9%
Other/Mixed 15.0%
Hispanic/Latino 10.5%
Asian 1.1%
👶 Under 18
6.1%
This area
6.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.3%
This area
22.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.7%
This area
13.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How much does a house cost in Water Valley, KY?

In Water Valley, KY the median home value sits at $108K. Against the broader KY market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

How tight is the rental market in Water Valley, KY?

Vacancy risk in Water Valley, KY is elevated. That supports reliable cash flow for typical rental holds.

What is the renter demographic in Water Valley, KY?

Tenant quality in Water Valley, KY ranks as solid. Landlords generally report predictable occupancy at market rents of $783/mo.

How strong are rents in Water Valley, KY?

Investors in Water Valley, KY typically see rents near $783/mo per month against $108K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Water Valley, KY?

KY law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Water Valley inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

You know 42085 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 42085 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 42085 ranks in Mayfield, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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