Real Estate Investing in Cumberland, Kentucky (40807)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harlan County • Population: 535 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40807 (Cumberland, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GREAT FIT
Grade A (90/100)

Strong fundamentals — affordable, appreciating, and stable. A confident pick for primary residence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Cumberland, KY (40807)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

5.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $63,767
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $51,726
% Renters 13.4%

Market Analysis: 40807 Cumberland

ZIP 40807 offers what many appreciation markets cannot: an affordable basis at $64K and rent support of $783/mo for rehab-driven equity creation in Harlan County.

ZIP 40807 favors investors with a contractor on speed dial. Meanwhile, the turnkey yield looks ordinary, a renovated unit pulls stronger rent than the unrenovated $783/mo average.

Across KY, value-add opportunity tends to concentrate where housing stock is older and entry prices are below the state median. ZIP 40807 sits at both traits clearly.

Residents in 40807 skew younger than the county average, and that matters for rehab positioning. Younger renters respond to finishes, appliances, and in-unit laundry in ways that move rent.

The strategy in 40807 is forced equity, not market equity. Turning to rents, entry prices are accommodating at $64K, the returns sit in the renovation budget, not the holding period.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Cumberland:

B+ Great
Buy Confidence Score: 80/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This area shows favorable conditions for homebuyers. Solid fundamentals with reasonable affordability.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$67K$57K$48K$38K$28K$19KApr 2015Dec 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40807 Compare?

Metric 40807 Cumberland Kentucky
Home Value $63,767 $62,793 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 14.1% 13.5% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $819 -
Cap Rate 9.6% 10.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 40807? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $783/mo on homes averaging $63,767 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40807 (Cumberland, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
9.6%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+14.1%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $63,767
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 6.8:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 14.7%
Cap Rate 9.6%
5-Year IRR 23.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +13.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +14.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +10.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 9.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (9.6%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+14.1%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40807

Population: 535

💰 Median Household Income
$51,726
This area
$51,726
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.4%
This area
13.4%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.7%
This area
4.7%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.6%
This area
18.6%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.7 years
This area
44.7 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.4%
This area
9.4%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.9%
Other/Mixed 6.1%
👶 Under 18
16.4%
This area
16.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
33.5%
This area
33.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40807

Nearby Schools (1 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

Cumberland Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
📍 322 Golf Course Rd, Cumberland
👥
451 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,949 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 1,840 Off-Campus Students
C
Southeast Kentucky Community & Technical College
3,144 students · 2.3 mi
C
Allure Beauty College
25 students · 12.7 mi
C+
Mountain Empire Community College
2,015 students · 13.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,840 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What strategy should investors use in Cumberland, KY?

For Cumberland, KY, value-add and BRRRR deals is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

What is the median home value in Cumberland, KY?

The median home value in Cumberland, KY is roughly $64K. That puts it reasonable relative to the KY statewide average.

Does house hacking make sense in Cumberland, KY?

The house hack math an attractive in Cumberland, KY. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $783/mo rents and $64K home values.

Does Cumberland, KY rent-to-price ratio clear the 1% rule?

Cumberland, KY delivers a 1.23% rent-to-price ratio on average. Investors targeting the 1% rule will find solid opportunities.

Is Cumberland, KY a smart market for rental property?

Investors tracking Cumberland, KY will find a 5.0/5 rating supported by $64K median home values and $783/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

You know 40807 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40807 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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