Real Estate Investing in Cumberland, Kentucky (40823)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harlan County • Population: 3,907 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40823 (Cumberland, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (84/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 16.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 38.7% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Higher unemployment: 9.9% unemployment — tenant risk signal.
  • Lower household income: $34,491 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Cumberland, KY (40823)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

5.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $69,092
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $34,491
% Renters 42.1%

Market Analysis: 40823 Cumberland

ZIP 40823 offers what many appreciation markets cannot: an affordable basis at $69K and rent support of $783/mo for rehab-driven equity creation in Harlan County.

Investors in 40823 do not buy the market average — they buy the unit they can improve. $69K median pricing and $783/mo comps define the envelope within which the work has to pay.

Regionally, 40823 sits on the affordable end of the Harlan County map. From an investor standpoint, the absolute numbers are modest, the spread between acquisition price and post-rehab value is wider than in turnkey ZIPs.

The 40823 ZIP's demographic trend has been one of stability with upside — population of 3,907, steady renter share, and an incoming cohort that is willing to pay for improved units.

The robust opportunity in 40823 is buying the worst house on the block, fixing it, and renting it at the top of the local band. That is the strategy, repeated.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Cumberland:

B+ Great
Buy Confidence Score: 80/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+11.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This area shows favorable conditions for homebuyers. Solid fundamentals with reasonable affordability.
🏠

Property Strategy for 40823

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
14.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+16.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$21,331/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $42,663 $870 14.7% +16.0% $21,331
3BR $69,577 $1,140 11.8% +12.4% $23,192

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$72K$63K$54K$44K$35K$25KApr 2015Dec 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40823 Compare?

Metric 40823 Cumberland Kentucky
Home Value $69,092 $62,793 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 12.2% 13.5% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $819 -
Cap Rate 8.8% 10.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 40823? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $783/mo on homes averaging $69,092 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

A healthy rental market with 42% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40823 (Cumberland, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
8.8%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+12.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $69,092
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 7.4:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 13.6%
Cap Rate 8.8%
5-Year IRR 21.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +11.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +12.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +12.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 8.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (8.8%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
16.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+12.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40823

Population: 3,907

💰 Median Household Income
$34,491
This area
$34,491
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
42.1%
This area
42.1%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
9.9%
This area
9.9%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.5%
This area
11.5%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.2 years
This area
35.2 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
16.1%
This area
16.1%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.3%
Other/Mixed 6.0%
Hispanic/Latino 2.2%
Black/African American 1.6%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
31.3%
This area
31.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.5%
This area
19.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
38.7%
This area
38.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40823

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
14.0:1 Avg Class Size
$15,949 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Cumberland Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
451 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,949 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 1,840 Off-Campus Students
C
Southeast Kentucky Community & Technical College
3,144 students · 0.8 mi
C
Allure Beauty College
25 students · 14.2 mi
C+
Mountain Empire Community College
2,015 students · 14.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,840 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does buy-rehab-rent-refinance work in Cumberland, KY?

Cumberland, KY BRRRR deals are a strong. With proper buy-side discipline, operators can recycle most of their capital post-refinance.

How close is Cumberland, KY to meeting the 1% rule?

The 1% rule in Cumberland, KY is reasonable to achieve. Rent-to-price at the median ($783/mo on $69K) lands around 1.13%.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Cumberland, KY?

Cumberland, KY home values average about $69K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $783/mo in monthly income.

How does Cumberland, KY rate as a rental market?

Our data puts Cumberland, KY at 5.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $69K and rents around $783/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

What does house hacking look like in Cumberland, KY?

House hacking works an attractive in Cumberland, KY. Rents of $783/mo against $69K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

You know 40823 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40823 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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