Real Estate Investing in Holmes Mill, Kentucky (40927)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harlan County • Population: 728 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40927 (Holmes Mill, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (84/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 31.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.1% in the last year.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Holmes Mill, KY (40927)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $66,974
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $59,083
% Renters 19.3%

Market Analysis: 40927 Holmes Mill

Investors scanning Holmes Mill, KY for forced-equity plays often land on the 40927 ZIP. A a strong candidate for entry near $67K pairs with rents of $783/mo to widen the renovation window.

BRRRR works in 40927 because the math supports it. Buy at $67K, rehab, and the refinance step typically recovers capital in a way that flat-yield markets cannot match.

Across Holmes Mill, pockets like 40927 represent the last affordable rungs of a rising ladder. The state-level data shows those rungs thinning.

The a credible choice for angle on demographics here is renter willingness to pay a premium for renovated product. The 19% rental share provides scale for the strategy.

ZIP 40927 fits investors who can swing a hammer — or pay someone to swing one well. BRRRR, fix-and-flip, and fix-and-hold all work when the rehab scope is matched to the rent lift.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Holmes Mill:

B+ Great
Buy Confidence Score: 80/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.1× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This area shows favorable conditions for homebuyers. Solid fundamentals with reasonable affordability.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$73K$64K$55K$46K$36K$27KDec 2015Apr 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40927 Compare?

Metric 40927 Holmes Mill Kentucky
Home Value $66,974 $33,487 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 8.5% 8.5% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $783 -
Cap Rate 9.1% 9.1% -
💡 Why Invest in 40927? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $783/mo on homes averaging $66,974 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40927 (Holmes Mill, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
9.1%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+8.5%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $66,974
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 7.1:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 14.0%
Cap Rate 9.1%
5-Year IRR 17.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR +8.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +8.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 9.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (9.1%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
31.8%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+8.5%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40927

Population: 728

💰 Median Household Income
$59,083
This area
$59,083
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
19.3%
This area
19.3%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.9%
This area
11.9%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.7 years
This area
38.7 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
31.8%
This area
31.8%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.0%
This area
14.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
17.4%
This area
17.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 1,446 Off-Campus Students
C
Southeast Kentucky Community & Technical College
3,144 students · 5.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,446 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What real estate strategy is ideal for Holmes Mill, KY?

For Holmes Mill, KY, value-add and BRRRR deals is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Is real estate in Holmes Mill, KY a good investment right now?

Holmes Mill, KY scores 5.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $67K and rents near $783/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

What is the median home value in Holmes Mill, KY?

Expect median prices around $67K in Holmes Mill, KY. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been stable.

Can investors BRRRR in Holmes Mill, KY?

Holmes Mill, KY is a strong for BRRRR. Acquiring below market, rehabbing, and leasing at $783/mo produces solid refinance appraisals against $67K values.

Are 1% rule properties available in Holmes Mill, KY?

The median property in Holmes Mill, KY ($67K at $783/mo rent) a 1.17% rent-to-price figure. Pure 1% deals require disciplined offer pricing.

You know 40927 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40927 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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