Real Estate Investing in Gray, Kentucky (40734)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Knox County • Population: 3,633 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40734 (Gray, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (51/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 20.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.1% CAGR).
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 16.5% in the last year.
  • Elevated poverty: 23.6% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Gray, KY (40734)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $138,640
Avg Monthly Rent $819
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $41,071
% Renters 19.7%

Market Analysis: 40734 Gray

Investors eyeing 40734 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $139K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

For an experienced owner, 40734 can be a an appealing option for hunting ground — but the discount at $139K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Regionally, 40734 sits on the difficult end of the KY spectrum. The a viable market for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Demographically, 40734 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

New investors are better served looking at Gray's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 40734. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Gray:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-16.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $819/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
London, KY Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
82 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from London, KY metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$175K$158K$142K$125K$109K$92KFeb 2017Nov 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40734 Compare?

Metric 40734 Gray London, KY Kentucky
Home Value $138,640 $138,640 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 1.1% 1.1% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $819 $819 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.6% 4.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40734? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40734 (Gray, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+1.1%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on London, KY metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
73%
Days Pending
2/2
82 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $138,640
Monthly Rent $819
Price-to-Rent 14.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.1%
Cap Rate 4.6%
5-Year IRR 5.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -16.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40734

Population: 3,633

💰 Median Household Income
$41,071
This area
$41,071
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
19.7%
This area
19.7%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.1%
This area
5.1%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
8.4%
This area
8.4%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.8 years
This area
43.8 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.9%
Other/Mixed 2.8%
Black/African American 0.3%
👶 Under 18
20.0%
This area
20.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.4%
This area
11.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Union College
1,129 students · 5.8 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of market is Gray, KY for investors?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Gray, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $139K and rents of $819/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What are home prices like in Gray, KY?

Typical homes in Gray, KY go for around $139K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% consistent price movement.

Are rents high in Gray, KY?

Investors in Gray, KY typically see rents near $819/mo per month against $139K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

What strategy should investors use in Gray, KY?

Gray, KY investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($139K prices, $819/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Are there empty rentals in Gray, KY?

Rental vacancy in Gray, KY is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

You know 40734 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 40734 ranks in London, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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