Real Estate Investing in Crab Orchard, Kentucky (40419)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 40419 (Crab Orchard, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.
A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.
- High vacancy: 19.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.
What’s happening in Crab Orchard, KY (40419)?
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Market Analysis: 40419 Crab Orchard
ZIP 40419 in Crab Orchard, KY carries a notable set of headwinds. Home values near $183K and rents of $783/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.
The investment case in 40419 is durable only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $183K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.
ZIP 40419's metrics run below Lincoln County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.
Turning to rents, 5,128 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.
Distressed ZIPs reward experience. durable returns are possible in 40419, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Crab Orchard:
Property Strategy for 40419
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2BR | $124,642 | $870 | 5.0% | +12.3% | $62,321 |
| 3BR | $188,185 | $1,070 | 4.1% | +10.1% | $62,728 |
| 4BR | $230,725 | $1,310 | 4.1% | — | $57,681 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 40419 Compare?
| Metric | 40419 | Crab Orchard | Danville, KY | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $183,340 | $183,340 | N/A | $225,788 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 7.4% | 7.4% | N/A | 6.9% |
| Avg Rent | $783 | $783 | N/A | - |
| Cap Rate | 3.3% | 3.3% | - | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.
Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40419 (Crab Orchard, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $183,340 |
| Monthly Rent | $783 |
| Price-to-Rent | 19.5:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 5.1% |
| Cap Rate | 3.3% |
| 5-Year IRR | 10.7% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | +3.7% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +5.6% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +7.4% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +7.7% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | N/A |
| 3-Year CAGR | N/A |
| 5-Year CAGR | N/A |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 40419
Population: 5,128
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 40419
Schools in This ZIP Code
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Frequently Asked Questions
How expensive is real estate in Crab Orchard, KY?
The median home value in Crab Orchard, KY is roughly $183K. That puts it reasonable relative to the KY statewide average.
Can owner-occupants cash flow in Crab Orchard, KY?
Crab Orchard, KY offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $783/mo rent level.
How high is vacancy risk in Crab Orchard, KY?
Vacancy risk in Crab Orchard, KY is elevated. That supports consistent cash flow for typical rental holds.
What is the average monthly rent in Crab Orchard, KY?
Rent in Crab Orchard, KY is around $783/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $183K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.
How strong is tenant demand in Crab Orchard, KY?
Working renters make up the core of the Crab Orchard, KY tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.
You know 40419 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 40419 ranks in Danville, KY
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