Real Estate Investing in Carlisle, Kentucky (40311)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nicholas County • Population: 7,676 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40311 (Carlisle, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (65/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 20.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Carlisle, KY (40311)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $205,089
Avg Monthly Rent $945
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $59,123
% Renters 29.1%

Market Analysis: 40311 Carlisle

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Carlisle's 40311 ZIP shows signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $205K pricing implies.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 40311 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

The gap between 40311 and stronger Carlisle ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Demographically, 40311 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategy in 40311 is an operator game, not a passive one. Put differently, entry prices of $205K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Carlisle:

B+ Great
Buy Confidence Score: 79/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $945/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This area shows favorable conditions for homebuyers. Solid fundamentals with reasonable affordability.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lexington-Fayette, KY Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
46 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lexington-Fayette, KY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 40311

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+10.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$58,398/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $141,407 $1,050 5.3% +10.9% $70,703
3BR $196,399 $1,430 5.2% +10.2% $65,466
4BR $233,594 $1,610 5.0% +9.7% $58,398

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$216K$187K$158K$129K$100K$71KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40311 Compare?

Metric 40311 Carlisle Lexington-Fayette, KY Kentucky
Home Value $205,089 $205,089 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 7.8% 7.8% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $945 $945 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40311? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40311 (Carlisle, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.8%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $205,089
Monthly Rent $945
Price-to-Rent 18.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 11.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.8%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40311

Population: 7,676

💰 Median Household Income
$59,123
This area
$59,123
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.1%
This area
29.1%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
8.5%
This area
8.5%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.0 years
This area
39.0 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.5%
This area
20.5%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.7%
Other/Mixed 3.5%
Black/African American 0.8%
👶 Under 18
24.7%
This area
24.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.4%
This area
16.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.0%
This area
11.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40311

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
16.3:1 Avg Class Size
$13,213 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Nicholas County Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
645 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$13,213 Per Student
B Good

Nicholas County High School

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
446 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,213 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are rental rates like in Carlisle, KY?

Rental rates in Carlisle, KY average $945/mo. Tenant demand and $205K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

Is Carlisle, KY suited for a house hack?

For house hackers, Carlisle, KY is a challenging. The $945/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $205K property.

Is housing expensive in Carlisle, KY?

Carlisle, KY median home values land near $205K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $945/mo-per-month rentals.

Is KY a landlord-friendly state?

The landlord environment in Carlisle, KY is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

What is the renter demographic in Carlisle, KY?

Carlisle, KY offers a reliable renter base at the $945/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

You know 40311 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40311 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 40311 ranks in Lexington-Fayette, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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