Real Estate Investing in Randolph, Mississippi (38864)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pontotoc County • Population: 1,859 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38864 (Randolph, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 21.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Randolph, MS (38864)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $199,097
Avg Monthly Rent $828
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $51,750
% Renters 12.0%

Market Analysis: 38864 Randolph

Investors eyeing 38864 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $199K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Turning to rents, the numbers look inviting — $199K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 38864 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Within MS, ZIP 38864 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Pontotoc County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and sturdy enough to shape underwriting.

The 38864 ZIP's population of 1,859 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that comes in at the need for careful underwriting.

New investors are better served looking at Randolph's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 38864. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Randolph:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+23.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $828/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Tupelo, MS Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tupelo, MS metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$205K$193K$182K$170K$159K$147KFeb 2021Nov 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38864 Compare?

Metric 38864 Randolph Tupelo, MS Mississippi
Home Value $199,097 $199,097 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR 3.4% 3.4% N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $828 $828 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38864? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38864 (Randolph, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.4%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Tupelo, MS metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $199,097
Monthly Rent $828
Price-to-Rent 20.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 6.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +23.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +8.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
21.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38864

Population: 1,859

💰 Median Household Income
$51,750
This area
$51,750
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
12.0%
This area
12.0%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
6.0%
This area
6.0%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
25.4 years
This area
25.4 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
21.0%
This area
21.0%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.1%
Hispanic/Latino 3.9%
Other/Mixed 3.9%
👶 Under 18
29.2%
This area
29.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.5%
This area
8.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.4%
This area
7.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
KC's School of Hair Design
54 students · 13.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is vacancy a concern in Randolph, MS?

Expect elevated vacancy in Randolph, MS. Rents at $828/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

What is the typical rental rate in Randolph, MS?

Investors in Randolph, MS typically see rents near $828/mo per month against $199K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Is MS a landlord-friendly state?

The landlord environment in Randolph, MS is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

Are tenants stable in Randolph, MS?

Working renters make up the core of the Randolph, MS tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Is Randolph, MS a smart market for rental property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Randolph, MS ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $199K and rents of $828/mo drive the underlying numbers.

You know 38864 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 38864 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 38864 ranks in Tupelo, MS

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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