Real Estate Investing in Houston, Mississippi (38851)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Chickasaw County • Population: 8,797 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38851 (Houston, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (63/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 11.2% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Elevated poverty: 26.3% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $39,544 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Houston, MS (38851)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $143,948
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $39,544
% Renters 31.8%

Market Analysis: 38851 Houston

On the rental side, ZIP 38851 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $144K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The investment case in 38851 is robust only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $144K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Regionally, 38851 sits on the difficult end of the MS spectrum. The a strong candidate for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Who lives in 38851 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 38851 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Houston:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.6× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 38851

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+6.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$46,052/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $96,715 $870 6.5% +5.2% $48,358
3BR $138,155 $1,170 6.1% +4.8% $46,052
4BR $206,232 $1,450 5.1% +6.8% $51,558

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$152K$141K$131K$120K$109K$99KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38851 Compare?

Metric 38851 Houston Mississippi
Home Value $143,948 $143,948 $186,446
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 2.5% 4.0%
Avg Rent $783 $783 -
Cap Rate 4.2% 4.2% -
💡 Why Invest in 38851? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38851 (Houston, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $143,948
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 15.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.5%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 6.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
11.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38851

Population: 8,797

💰 Median Household Income
$39,544
This area
$39,544
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
31.8%
This area
31.8%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.1%
This area
1.1%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.6%
This area
12.6%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.3 years
This area
40.3 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
11.2%
This area
11.2%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 53.9%
Black/African American 37.4%
Other/Mixed 8.5%
Hispanic/Latino 5.4%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
24.4%
This area
24.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.8%
This area
19.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
26.3%
This area
26.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38851

C+ Avg School Grade
6 Schools
12.8:1 Avg Class Size
$10,492 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

HOUSTON LOWER ELEMENTARY

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
483 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$10,492 Per Student
B+ Above Average

HOUSTON MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
355 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$10,492 Per Student
B Good

HOUSTON HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
511 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$10,492 Per Student
B Good

HOUSTON UPPER ELEMENTARY

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
381 Students
👨‍🏫
13.6:1 Class Size
💰
$10,492 Per Student
C Below Average

HOUSTON CAREER & TECHNOLOGY ED.

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$10,492 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

HOUSTON ALTERNATIVE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$10,492 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Houston, MS?

In Houston, MS the median home value sits at $144K. Against the broader MS market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

What real estate strategy is ideal for Houston, MS?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Houston, MS best. The market produces steady results for that approach at the $144K price point.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Houston, MS?

Houston, MS offers a stable renter base at the $783/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Is Houston, MS suited for a house hack?

Houston, MS is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $144K price point reasonable to enter.

How landlord-friendly is Houston, MS?

Houston, MS falls under MS landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

You know 38851 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 38851 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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