Real Estate Investing in Nesbit, Mississippi (38651)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

DeSoto County • Population: 8,491 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38651 (Nesbit, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (69/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Nesbit, MS (38651)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $361,940
Avg Monthly Rent $1,269
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $109,399
% Renters 7.1%

Market Analysis: 38651 Nesbit

The 38651 ZIP in Nesbit, MS is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $362K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Rent of $1,269/mo on a $362K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 38651 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Statewide comparisons place 38651 among MS's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Employment concentration in 38651 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategy in 38651 is an operator game, not a passive one. On the rental side, entry prices of $362K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Nesbit:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.3× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,269/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38651

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+4.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$97,312/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $309,309 $1,860 4.3% +4.9% $103,103
4BR $389,249 $2,170 4.0% +4.4% $97,312

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$376K$338K$301K$263K$226K$189KJun 2010Jul 2018Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38651 Compare?

Metric 38651 Nesbit Memphis, TN-MS-AR Mississippi
Home Value $361,940 $361,940 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR 3.6% 3.6% N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $1,269 $1,269 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38651? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38651 (Nesbit, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.6%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $361,940
Monthly Rent $1,269
Price-to-Rent 23.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.2%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 6.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38651

Population: 8,491

💰 Median Household Income
$109,399
This area
$109,399
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
7.1%
This area
7.1%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
28.5%
This area
28.5%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.3 years
This area
36.3 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.7%
This area
4.7%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 70.4%
Black/African American 23.9%
Other/Mixed 5.4%
Hispanic/Latino 3.9%
Asian 0.4%
👶 Under 18
22.4%
This area
22.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.1%
This area
13.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby
C
Delta Technical College-Mississippi
2,320 students · 4.4 mi
D
Concorde Career College-Southaven
114 students · 5.9 mi
C
Health-Tech Institute of Memphis
4 students · 11.6 mi
F
Remington College-Memphis Campus
391 students · 12.4 mi
B
Mid-South Christian College
32 students · 13.0 mi
F
Strayer University-Tennessee
2,920 students · 14.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Nesbit, MS?

Typical homes in Nesbit, MS go for around $362K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% measured price movement.

What does house hacking look like in Nesbit, MS?

For house hackers, Nesbit, MS is a challenging. The $1,269/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $362K property.

How strong is Nesbit, MS for real estate investors?

Nesbit, MS scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $362K and rents near $1,269/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Nesbit, MS?

Expect elevated vacancy in Nesbit, MS. Rents at $1,269/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Nesbit, MS?

MS law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Nesbit inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

You know 38651 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38651 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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