Real Estate Investing in Horn Lake, Mississippi (38637)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

DeSoto County • Population: 26,622 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38637 (Horn Lake, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (78/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Horn Lake, MS (38637)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $203,485
Avg Monthly Rent $1,512
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,111
% Renters 41.2%

Market Analysis: 38637 Horn Lake

ZIP 38637 inside DeSoto County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $203K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 38637 can be a worth a close look for hunting ground — but the discount at $203K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

ZIP 38637's metrics run below DeSoto County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 38637 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 38637 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Horn Lake:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.6× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,512/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38637

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
6.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+9.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$64,382/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $147,937 $1,400 6.8% +9.0% $73,968
3BR $193,147 $1,850 6.9% +6.5% $64,382
4BR $275,608 $2,150 5.6% +6.6% $68,902

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$214K$189K$164K$138K$113K$87KJun 2010Jul 2018Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,582$1,482$1,383$1,283$1,184$1,084Mar 2021Nov 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38637 Compare?

Metric 38637 Horn Lake Memphis, TN-MS-AR Mississippi
Home Value $203,485 $203,485 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 4.5% N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $1,512 $1,512 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.8% 5.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38637? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 41% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38637 (Horn Lake, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.8%
Fair
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $203,485
Monthly Rent $1,512
Price-to-Rent 11.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.9%
Cap Rate 5.8%
5-Year IRR 10.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38637

Population: 26,622

💰 Median Household Income
$57,111
This area
$57,111
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
41.2%
This area
41.2%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.3%
This area
5.3%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.4%
This area
16.4%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.5 years
This area
35.5 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.2%
This area
6.2%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 44.8%
White 43.4%
Other/Mixed 10.3%
Hispanic/Latino 6.9%
Asian 1.4%
👶 Under 18
24.5%
This area
24.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.1%
This area
11.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.4%
This area
12.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38637

B Avg School Grade
5 Schools
13.6:1 Avg Class Size
$9,536 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

HORN LAKE ELEM

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
509 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$9,536 Per Student
B Good

SHADOW OAKS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 02 Elementary
👥
433 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$9,536 Per Student
B Good

HORN LAKE INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
882 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$9,536 Per Student
B Good

HORN LAKE MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
993 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$9,536 Per Student
C+ Average

HORN LAKE HIGH

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,291 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$9,536 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
C
Delta Technical College-Mississippi
2,320 students · 2.9 mi
D
Concorde Career College-Southaven
114 students · 3.9 mi
F
Remington College-Memphis Campus
391 students · 9.0 mi
C
Health-Tech Institute of Memphis
4 students · 9.4 mi
B
Mid-South Christian College
32 students · 11.1 mi
C
Le Moyne-Owen College
646 students · 11.6 mi
F
Strayer University-Tennessee
2,920 students · 12.1 mi
C
Christian Brothers University
2,043 students · 12.8 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Horn Lake in MS worth investing in?

Horn Lake, MS rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $203K and rents near $1,512/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

How high is vacancy risk in Horn Lake, MS?

Vacancy in Horn Lake, MS is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,512/mo.

How much is rent in Horn Lake, MS?

Average rent in Horn Lake, MS is approximately $1,512/mo per month. Against $203K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

How much does a house cost in Horn Lake, MS?

Median home price in Horn Lake, MS is near $203K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been predictable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

Can I live-in-and-rent in Horn Lake, MS?

Horn Lake, MS offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,512/mo rent level.

You know 38637 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38637 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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