Real Estate Investing in Duck River, Tennessee (38454)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hickman County • Population: 888 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38454 (Duck River, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (31/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 22.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Duck River, TN (38454)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $279,295
Avg Monthly Rent $1,197
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $55,644
% Renters 17.7%

Market Analysis: 38454 Duck River

This part of Hickman County is not an easy win. The 38454 ZIP records softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

For an experienced owner, 38454 can be a worth a close look for hunting ground — but the discount at $279K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Regionally, 38454 sits on the difficult end of the TN spectrum. The worth a close look for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The demographic picture in 38454 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Duck River averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

New investors are better served looking at Duck River's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 38454. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Duck River:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 54/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,197/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$305K$292K$278K$265K$252K$238KJan 2024May 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38454 Compare?

Metric 38454 Duck River Tennessee
Home Value $279,295 $279,295 $327,001
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,197 $1,197 -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.3% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38454 (Duck River, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $279,295
Monthly Rent $1,197
Price-to-Rent 19.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.1%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38454

Population: 888

💰 Median Household Income
$55,644
This area
$55,644
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.7%
This area
17.7%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.7%
This area
13.7%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.7 years
This area
46.7 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.5%
This area
22.5%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.1%
Other/Mixed 3.5%
Black/African American 1.5%
👶 Under 18
20.3%
This area
20.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.8%
This area
25.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What monthly rent should investors expect in Duck River, TN?

Average rent in Duck River, TN is approximately $1,197/mo per month. Against $279K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Is TN a landlord-friendly state?

Landlord-friendliness in Duck River, TN is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Is Duck River in TN worth investing in?

Investors tracking Duck River, TN will find a 2.0/5 rating supported by $279K median home values and $1,197/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

Does house hacking work in Duck River, TN?

House hacking works a challenging in Duck River, TN. Rents of $1,197/mo against $279K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

Are there empty rentals in Duck River, TN?

Duck River, TN sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader TN rental market.

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