Real Estate Investing in Buena Vista, Tennessee (38318)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Carroll County • Population: 531 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38318 (Buena Vista, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (47/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 36.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 22.4% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Buena Vista, TN (38318)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $210,102
Avg Monthly Rent $882
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $86,000
% Renters 13.9%

Market Analysis: 38318 Buena Vista

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Buena Vista's 38318 ZIP reports signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $210K pricing implies.

The investment case in 38318 is robust only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $210K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Statewide comparisons place 38318 among TN's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Resident income in 38318 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategy in 38318 is an operator game, not a passive one. From a cash-flow lens, entry prices of $210K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Buena Vista:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 55/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $882/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$229K$222K$215K$207K$200K$193KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38318 Compare?

Metric 38318 Buena Vista Tennessee
Home Value $210,102 $210,102 $327,001
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $882 $882 -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.3% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38318 (Buena Vista, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $210,102
Monthly Rent $882
Price-to-Rent 19.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.7% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
36.8%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38318

Population: 531

💰 Median Household Income
$86,000
This area
$86,000
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.9%
This area
13.9%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.7%
This area
22.7%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.3 years
This area
43.3 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
36.8%
This area
36.8%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 86.1%
Black/African American 12.0%
Other/Mixed 1.9%
👶 Under 18
16.8%
This area
16.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
7.1%
This area
7.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
22.4%
This area
22.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is the working-renter base in Buena Vista, TN?

Tenant demand in Buena Vista, TN is solid. The local workforce $882/mo rents across most rental classes.

Can I house hack in Buena Vista, TN?

Buena Vista, TN offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $882/mo rent level.

How high is vacancy risk in Buena Vista, TN?

Vacancy risk in Buena Vista, TN is elevated. That supports measured cash flow for typical rental holds.

Is rental property easy to operate in Buena Vista, TN?

The landlord environment in Buena Vista, TN is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

What is the median home value in Buena Vista, TN?

Typical homes in Buena Vista, TN go for around $210K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% measured price movement.

You know 38318 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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