Real Estate Investing in Memphis, Tennessee (38104)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Shelby County • Population: 22,925 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 38104 (Memphis, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (41/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Declining values: -0.6% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Elevated vacancy: 11.5% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Memphis, TN (38104)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $254,666
Avg Monthly Rent $1,296
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $53,351
% Renters 62.5%

Market Analysis: 38104 Memphis

This part of Shelby County is not an easy win. The 38104 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $255K asset, 38104 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Nearby ZIPs in Memphis have seen price recovery that 38104 has not matched. Shelby County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Resident income in 38104 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategy in 38104 is an operator game, not a passive one. From a cash-flow lens, entry prices of $255K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Memphis:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 53/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,296/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38104

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
8.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+9.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$90,323/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $117,599 $1,330 8.1% +9.0% $117,599
2BR $196,251 $1,470 5.4% +3.2% $98,126
3BR $282,601 $1,940 4.9% +2.3% $94,200
4BR $396,276 $2,260 4.1% +2.7% $99,069
5BR $451,617 +2.7% $90,323

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$299K$262K$226K$190K$153K$117KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,351$1,235$1,119$1,002$886$769Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38104 Compare?

Metric 38104 Memphis Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $254,666 $150,680 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR N/A 2.6% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,296 $1,243 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.0% 6.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38104? Click to expand

63% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38104 (Memphis, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 38104 (Memphis, TN)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Property managers serving Shelby County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN, and surrounding areas, including Section 8 property management, maintenance, and renovations. summary from their website

Section 8
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Enterprise Property Management offers property management services in Memphis. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Foundation Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.6%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $254,666
Monthly Rent $1,296
Price-to-Rent 16.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 3.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR -2.2% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
10-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +5.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.9% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
11.5%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.6%
Flat
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38104

Population: 22,925

💰 Median Household Income
$53,351
This area
$53,351
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
62.5%
This area
62.5%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
50.2%
This area
50.2%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.1 years
This area
37.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
11.5%
This area
11.5%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 62.3%
Black/African American 28.7%
Other/Mixed 5.8%
Asian 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 3.0%
👶 Under 18
13.0%
This area
13.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.2%
This area
14.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.3%
This area
5.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38104

B+ Avg School Grade
13 Schools
16.6:1 Avg Class Size
$15,292 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Compass Community School Midtown Campus

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
356 Students
👨‍🏫
11.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
A Very Good

Bruce Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
481 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Crosstown High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
499 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Memphis Academy Of Science Engineering Middle/High

📚 06 – 12 High School Charter
👥
696 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Bellevue Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
606 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Idlewild Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
588 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Maxine Smith STEAM Academy

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
397 Students
👨‍🏫
16.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Peabody Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
324 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Central High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,300 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Hanley K-8

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
572 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Middle College High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
333 Students
👨‍🏫
24.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
C+ Average

Early Childhood Education

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
💰
$15,292 Per Student
C+ Average

Memphis Learning Academy

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
💰
$15,292 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
C+
Massage Institute of Memphis
20 students · 0.7 mi
C
Southern College of Optometry
525 students · 1.0 mi
C
Memphis Theological Seminary
195 students · 1.2 mi
C
William R Moore College of Technology
461 students · 1.2 mi
C
Christian Brothers University
2,043 students · 1.2 mi
C+
Baptist Health Sciences University
755 students · 1.4 mi
C
The University of Tennessee Health Science Center
3,121 students · 1.7 mi
B
Rhodes College
1,952 students · 1.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How do experienced investors play Memphis, TN?

Most investors in Memphis, TN run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 2.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

Is TN a landlord-friendly state?

For rental operators, Memphis, TN rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

Is Memphis in TN worth investing in?

The 2.0/5 investability rating in Memphis, TN reflects its $255K prices and $1,296/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TN.

What does house hacking look like in Memphis, TN?

Memphis, TN offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,296/mo rent level.

Is the tenant base reliable in Memphis, TN?

Memphis, TN draws a consistent base of working renters. Demand at the $1,296/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

You know 38104 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 38104 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 38104 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 38104 (Memphis)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 38104 (Memphis, TN).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.