Real Estate Investing in Lakewood Ranch, Florida (34202)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Manatee County • Population: 27,237 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 34202 (Lakewood Ranch, FL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 5.0% in the last year.

What’s happening in Lakewood Ranch, FL (34202)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $657,474
Avg Monthly Rent $2,479
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $114,234
% Renters 21.9%

Market Analysis: 34202 Lakewood Ranch

Investors eyeing 34202 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $657K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

The 34202 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Regionally, 34202 sits on the difficult end of the FL spectrum. The a solid fit for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The 34202 ZIP's population of 27,237 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that clocks in at the need for careful underwriting.

Strategically, 34202 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lakewood Ranch:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-5.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,479/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
90 days
Average time to sell
Slow
7.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 34202

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
9.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+10.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
1BR
$169,738/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $169,738 $2,200 9.3% +6.6% $169,738
2BR $425,942 $2,550 4.3% +7.4% $212,971
3BR $642,897 $3,300 3.7% +8.4% $214,299
4BR $878,955 $3,940 3.2% +9.6% $219,739
5BR $1,266,437 +10.6% $253,287

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$827K$710K$594K$478K$362K$245KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,883$2,752$2,621$2,490$2,358$2,227Oct 2021Mar 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 34202 Compare?

Metric 34202 Lakewood Ranch North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Florida
Home Value $657,474 $600,946 N/A $374,697
5-Year CAGR 3.8% 3.4% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $2,479 $2,453 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 3.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 34202? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 34202 (Lakewood Ranch, FL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Manatee County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

All County Pros is a full-service residential property management company in Sarasota, FL, serving Sarasota and Bradenton, focused on maximizing rental property revenue. summary from their website

Single-family
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

At the Helm Property Management, LLC provides association management services in Bradenton, FL, including full-service accounting, property inspections, and association meeting support. summary from their website

HOA
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Gulf Coast Property Management serves investors in Manatee & Sarasota counties, offering annual, vacation, and association management, as well as home watch services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $657,474
Monthly Rent $2,479
Price-to-Rent 22.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.5%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 6.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -5.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -11.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 34202

Population: 27,237

💰 Median Household Income
$114,234
This area
$114,234
State
$70,737
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.9%
This area
21.9%
State
29.9%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.1%
This area
1.1%
State
-18.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
54.5%
This area
54.5%
State
4.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
52.7 years
This area
52.7 years
State
16.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.1%
This area
14.1%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 85.4%
Other/Mixed 10.3%
Hispanic/Latino 5.2%
Asian 2.2%
Black/African American 2.1%
👶 Under 18
19.3%
This area
19.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
32.0%
This area
32.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 34202

B Avg School Grade
7 Schools
16.4:1 Avg Class Size
$13,467 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

BRADEN RIVER ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
547 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,252 Per Student
B+ Above Average

GILBERT W MCNEAL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
659 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,252 Per Student
B Good

ROBERT WILLIS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
764 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,252 Per Student
B Good

BRADEN RIVER MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
838 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,252 Per Student
B Good

R. DAN NOLAN MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
721 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,252 Per Student
C+ Average

PINNACLE ACADEMY INC.

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
💰
$14,758 Per Student
C Below Average

PINNACLE ACADEMY INC.

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12 Limited Data
💰
$13,252 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 814 Off-Campus Students
C
Meridian College
144 students · 2.7 mi
F
Arizona College of Nursing-Sarasota
98 students · 3.7 mi
D
Galen Health Institutes-Sarasota
404 students · 5.7 mi
C
Sarasota School of Massage Therapy
76 students · 5.9 mi
B
Manatee Technical College
1,117 students · 6.1 mi
C+
Ringling College of Art and Design
1,722 students · 10.0 mi
D
East West College of Natural Medicine
57 students · 10.1 mi
B
New College of Florida
732 students · 10.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 814 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is housing expensive in Lakewood Ranch, FL?

The median home value in Lakewood Ranch, FL is roughly $657K. That puts it reasonable relative to the FL statewide average.

Is Lakewood Ranch, FL a friendly market for rental owners?

FL ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Lakewood Ranch generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

How deep is the rental pool in Lakewood Ranch, FL?

Tenant demand in Lakewood Ranch, FL is solid. The local workforce $2,479/mo rents across most rental classes.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Lakewood Ranch, FL?

Lakewood Ranch, FL carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect predictable absorption at market rents of $2,479/mo.

Can I house hack in Lakewood Ranch, FL?

House hacking works a challenging in Lakewood Ranch, FL. Rents of $2,479/mo against $657K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

You know 34202 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 34202 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 34202 ranks in North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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