Real Estate Investing in Ellerbe, North Carolina (28338)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Richmond County • Population: 3,320 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 28338 (Ellerbe, NC)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 16.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Ellerbe, NC (28338)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $149,489
Avg Monthly Rent $837
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $56,854
% Renters 21.4%

Market Analysis: 28338 Ellerbe

ZIP 28338 inside Richmond County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $149K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The investment case in 28338 is notable only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $149K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

ZIP 28338's metrics run below Richmond County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Demographically, 28338 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

trends toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ellerbe:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $837/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Rockingham, NC Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
8.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Rockingham, NC metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$158K$143K$129K$115K$100K$86KFeb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 28338 Compare?

Metric 28338 Ellerbe Rockingham, NC North Carolina
Home Value $149,489 $149,489 N/A $330,565
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 4.5% N/A 7.8%
Avg Rent $837 $837 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.4% 4.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 28338? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 28338 (Ellerbe, NC). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Rockingham, NC metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
3/3
80%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $149,489
Monthly Rent $837
Price-to-Rent 14.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.7%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR 8.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
16.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 28338

Population: 3,320

💰 Median Household Income
$56,854
This area
$56,854
State
$63,256
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.4%
This area
21.4%
State
27.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
6.0%
This area
6.0%
State
-19.3%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
21.3%
This area
21.3%
State
0.5%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.2 years
This area
44.2 years
State
6.5 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
16.0%
This area
16.0%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 56.0%
Black/African American 27.2%
Other/Mixed 16.8%
Hispanic/Latino 14.5%
👶 Under 18
23.4%
This area
23.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.5%
This area
18.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.0%
This area
5.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 28338

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
14.0:1 Avg Class Size
$13,139 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Ellerbe Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
202 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,139 Per Student
B Good

Mineral Springs Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
413 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,139 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 981 Off-Campus Students
C+
Richmond Community College
2,411 students · 13.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 981 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of market is Ellerbe, NC for investors?

Investors tracking Ellerbe, NC will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $149K median home values and $837/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting steady returns.

What is the typical rental rate in Ellerbe, NC?

The typical rental in Ellerbe, NC commands about $837/mo monthly. That rent profile stable cash flow against the $149K purchase basis.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Ellerbe, NC?

Typical homes in Ellerbe, NC go for around $149K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% reliable price movement.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Ellerbe, NC?

For rental operators, Ellerbe, NC rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

Is Ellerbe, NC better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

For Ellerbe, NC, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

You know 28338 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 28338 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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