Real Estate Investing in Spring Grove, Virginia (23881)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Surry County • Population: 2,330 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23881 (Spring Grove, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 18.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Spring Grove, VA (23881)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $302,501
Avg Monthly Rent $1,386
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $60,469
% Renters 22.9%

Market Analysis: 23881 Spring Grove

Investors eyeing 23881 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $303K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $303K asset, 23881 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Turning to rents, 23881 offers a low basis, the region around Spring Grove has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

The 23881 ZIP's population of 2,330 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that records the need for careful underwriting.

Strategically, 23881 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Spring Grove:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,386/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Richmond, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
31 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Richmond, VA metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$315K$279K$243K$207K$171K$135KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 23881 Compare?

Metric 23881 Spring Grove Richmond, VA Virginia
Home Value $302,501 $302,501 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.7% 4.7% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,386 $1,386 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 23881? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23881 (Spring Grove, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.7%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Richmond, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
29%
Days Pending
0/2
31 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $302,501
Monthly Rent $1,386
Price-to-Rent 18.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
18.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23881

Population: 2,330

💰 Median Household Income
$60,469
This area
$60,469
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
22.9%
This area
22.9%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
21.0%
This area
21.0%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.2 years
This area
44.2 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
18.3%
This area
18.3%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 53.3%
Black/African American 46.3%
Other/Mixed 0.5%
👶 Under 18
19.2%
This area
19.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.0%
This area
14.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.8%
This area
15.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Spring Grove, VA?

Expect median prices around $303K in Spring Grove, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been consistent.

Are renters plentiful in Spring Grove, VA?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Spring Grove, VA. The rental market absorbs $1,386/mo rents without meaningful friction.

Is VA a landlord-friendly state?

VA ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Spring Grove generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Are there empty rentals in Spring Grove, VA?

Vacancy risk in Spring Grove, VA is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

Is Spring Grove, VA a good market for FHA house hackers?

House hacking in Spring Grove, VA is a challenging. With home values around $303K and rents at $1,386/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

You know 23881 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 23881 ranks in Richmond, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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