Real Estate Investing in Church Road, Virginia (23833)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Dinwiddie County • Population: 2,284 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23833 (Church Road, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (76/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Church Road, VA (23833)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $342,036
Avg Monthly Rent $1,386
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $81,141
% Renters 6.2%

Market Analysis: 23833 Church Road

Investors eyeing 23833 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $342K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

For an experienced owner, 23833 can be a a credible choice for hunting ground — but the discount at $342K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Nearby ZIPs in Church Road have seen price recovery that 23833 has not matched. Dinwiddie County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

On balance, 2,284 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

New investors are better served looking at Church Road's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 23833. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Church Road:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,386/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Richmond, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
31 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Richmond, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 23833

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$99,051/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $322,699 $1,950 4.4% +8.8% $107,566
4BR $396,202 $2,410 4.4% $99,051

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$358K$311K$264K$216K$169K$121KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 23833 Compare?

Metric 23833 Church Road Richmond, VA Virginia
Home Value $342,036 $342,036 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 7.6% 7.6% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,386 $1,386 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 23833? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23833 (Church Road, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.6%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Richmond, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
29%
Days Pending
0/2
31 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $342,036
Monthly Rent $1,386
Price-to-Rent 20.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.9%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 10.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23833

Population: 2,284

💰 Median Household Income
$81,141
This area
$81,141
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
6.2%
This area
6.2%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.4%
This area
1.4%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
10.8%
This area
10.8%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.8 years
This area
41.8 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.4%
This area
6.4%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 89.0%
Black/African American 8.3%
Other/Mixed 2.7%
Hispanic/Latino 0.9%
👶 Under 18
22.2%
This area
22.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.3%
This area
17.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.8%
This area
0.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 23833

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
14.5:1 Avg Class Size
$14,357 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Midway Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
349 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,357 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C+
Virginia State University
5,190 students · 13.9 mi
C
Another Level Barbering and Cosmetology School
77 students · 14.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What do rentals go for in Church Road, VA?

Rental rates in Church Road, VA average $1,386/mo. Tenant demand and $342K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Church Road, VA?

The tenant pool in Church Road, VA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,386/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Church Road, VA?

Church Road, VA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Does a duplex house hack pencil in Church Road, VA?

The a challenging house-hack environment in Church Road, VA reflects the rent-to-price spread. Expect meaningful PITI offset at market rents.

Should investors consider Church Road, VA?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Church Road, VA reflects its $342K prices and $1,386/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within VA.

You know 23833 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 23833 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 23833 ranks in Richmond, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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