Real Estate Investing in Smithfield, Virginia (23430)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Isle of Wight County • Population: 19,057 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23430 (Smithfield, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Smithfield, VA (23430)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $411,274
Avg Monthly Rent $2,498
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $95,316
% Renters 16.5%

Market Analysis: 23430 Smithfield

The 23430 ZIP in Smithfield, VA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $411K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 23430 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Nearby ZIPs in Smithfield have seen price recovery that 23430 has not matched. Isle of Wight County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Resident income in 23430 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

The 23430 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Smithfield:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,498/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 23430

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+7.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$120,444/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $276,486 $1,490 3.9% +5.8% $138,243
3BR $361,332 $2,060 4.1% +6.5% $120,444
4BR $510,783 $2,430 3.4% +7.0% $127,696
5BR $617,210 +6.8% $123,442

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$425K$385K$344K$303K$262K$221KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,503$2,487$2,471$2,455$2,439$2,423Jan 2026Apr 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 23430 Compare?

Metric 23430 Smithfield Virginia
Home Value $411,274 $411,274 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 3.7% 3.7% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,498 $2,498 -
Cap Rate 4.7% 4.7% -
💡 Why Invest in 23430? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23430 (Smithfield, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 23430 (Smithfield, VA)?

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.7%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $411,274
Monthly Rent $2,498
Price-to-Rent 13.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.3%
Cap Rate 4.7%
5-Year IRR 8.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23430

Population: 19,057

💰 Median Household Income
$95,316
This area
$95,316
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.5%
This area
16.5%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.7%
This area
2.7%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
31.4%
This area
31.4%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.6 years
This area
48.6 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.7%
This area
6.7%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.4%
Black/African American 26.7%
Other/Mixed 4.7%
Hispanic/Latino 1.9%
Asian 0.3%
👶 Under 18
18.6%
This area
18.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.9%
This area
20.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.3%
This area
9.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 23430

B+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
15.0:1 Avg Class Size
$13,844 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Hardy Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
632 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,844 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Smithfield Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
601 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,844 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Westside Elementary

📚 04 – 06 School
👥
739 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,844 Per Student
B Good

Smithfield High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,310 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,844 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 1,158 Off-Campus Students
B
Christopher Newport University
4,503 students · 10.7 mi
C+
Riverside College of Health Careers
325 students · 11.9 mi
D
Empire Beauty School-Newport News
78 students · 12.5 mi
D
Tomorrow's Image Barber And Beauty Academy of Virginia
18 students · 12.6 mi
C
Luckes Beauty Academy LLC
21 students · 13.2 mi
C
Centura College-Newport News
210 students · 13.4 mi
C
Asher Institute of Hampton
118 students · 13.4 mi
C
Virginia Peninsula Community College
6,127 students · 14.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,158 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors worry about vacancy in Smithfield, VA?

Smithfield, VA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader VA rental market.

What is the best play in Smithfield, VA?

For Smithfield, VA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Is Smithfield, VA good for landlords?

For rental operators, Smithfield, VA rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

Is Smithfield, VA good for house hacking?

House hacking in Smithfield, VA is a challenging. With home values around $411K and rents at $2,498/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

Where do home prices stand in Smithfield, VA?

Smithfield, VA home values average about $411K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $2,498/mo in monthly income.

You know 23430 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 23430 ranks in Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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